DIW Berlin (Copyright)  Einkommen Einkommensverteilung
Press Release, 16 Jan 2018

The top 10% of income earners in Germany earn almost as much as the middle 40% – the top 1%’s share of national income has increased from eight to 13 percent since 1995. The share of national income belonging to the top 1% of income earners has grown significantly in Germany since the ... more

Andreas Weber (Copyright)  Wohnhaus Haus Wohnhäuser
Press Release, 12 Jan 2018

Construction industry continues very positive development – more room for modernization and renovation of existing buildings – construction prices rise sharply The construction sector cycle will continue its upward course in the next two years according to the forecast of the German ... more

DIW Berlin, Florian Schuh (Copyright)  Gert G Wagner
Press Release, 04 Jan 2018

Gert G. Wagner, who served as a member of the German Institute for Economic Research's executive board from 2011 to 2017, will celebrate his 65th birthday on January 5. The economist and social scientist was the head of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) research infrastructure at DIW Berlin from 1989 ... more

DIW Berlin (Copyright)  Weihanchtskarte Christmas card
Report, 22 Dec 2017

DIW Berlin wishes you a happy festive season and a peaceful and prosperous new year in 2018! more

Elena (Copyright)  Baustelle Baustellen Bau
Press Release, 21 Dec 2017

The Economic Barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) dropped by four points in December to 109 points. However, the value above 100 still indicates above-average GDP growth in the fourth quarter by slightly more than half a percent when compared to the third quarter. ... more

List of news
by Martin Gornig, Claus Michelsen, in DIW Weekly Report

New residential construction, in particular apartment complexes, has driven the growth in Germany’s construction industry in recent years. In 2018 and 2019 the volume of new construction will continue to expand. However, its rate of expansion will decrease and the boom of recent years will come to an end. After years of strong growth, having even occasionally surpassed the ten-percent mark, the German Institute for Economic Research expects to see a definite slowdown in the growth rates for new residential construction. Taking into account the sharply rising construction prices the real growth rates drop on to approximately one percent. The additional momentum in new non-residential construction is not likely to compensate for the end of the boom in new residential construction. Therefore the focus will shift to renovation and modernization of the existing building stock. By 2019 at the latest, these should have a higher growth rate than that of new housing. In nominal terms, the German Institute for Economic Research anticipates growth in renovation activity of around 7.5 percent for the existing housing stock and 3.5 percent growth in the non-residential sector. The greater momentum of activity around the building stock, including energy efficiency upgrades, will also help meet Germany’s climate targets. In view of the nation’s tight urban housing market, policy makers would do well to counteract the foreseeable end of the boom in new housing construction by establishing incentives for urban development and redensification as well as supporting the construction of additional residential space in urban development zones.

by Ludovica Gambaro, in DIW Economic Bulletin

In Germany, attendance in early childhood education and care (ECEC) centers has soared in the last twenty years, making them a key context in which children learn. For children from migrant backgrounds who speak a foreign language at home, participation in ECEC has the potential of providing them with early German language exposure. One important but often overlooked factor in this respect is the composition of a child’s peer group. Do children from migrant backgrounds attend ECEC centers where the majority of their peers are also from migrant backgrounds? This report offers the first systematic evidence for Germany of how children, and children from migrant backgrounds in particular, are distributed across ECEC centers, thus assessing the level of segregation. Using administrative data from 2007 to 2016, it shows that one-third of children who mainly speak a foreign language at home attend centers where the majority of their peers have a similar background. The report argues that peer group composition is a crucial aspect affecting the quality of children’s experiences in ECEC. Luckily, it is also an aspect that can be influenced by careful policy design.

by Aleksandar Zaklan, Dawud Ansari, Claudia Kemfert, in DIW Economic Bulletin

In this study, we report on the current state of the international market for crude oil. The market data we analyzed indicate that competition has intensified as a result of the now firmly-established shale oil extraction industry in the U.S. Model-based simulations also show that supply-side shifts should only have moderate price effects. This applies to both an expansion in U.S. shale oil production and a disruption of production in OPEC countries. Market data and simulations indicate that the crude oil market is currently in a new equilibrium that appears to be relatively robust in the short term. In the absence of further shocks, we can continue to expect a moderate price level for crude oil in the short term with corresponding implications for economic and climate policy.

List of Publications

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15.01.
DIW volume forecast: New residential construction has driven the growth in Germany’s in recent years. In 2018 & 2019 the volume of new construction will continue to expand. However, its rate of expansion will decrease:
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12.01.
Gert G Wagner is leaving the board of . GGW is my PhD mentor & given all that talk about eminence in psych, here's why I think he's a truly eminent scholar>
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11.01.
Even after the and scandals benchmark interest rates remain vulnerable to . New paper by Boot, Klein, and Schinkel
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09.01.
Abandoning its carbon target is a disastrous failure for a German government that had claimed to make the energy transmission a top priority.
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05.01.
the evolution of economic in Germany will be a topic at the presentation of the World 2018 at DIW Berlin on January 16th: register now at
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02.01.
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