Bernd Kröger (Copyright)  Hafen Stadthafen Schiffsverkehr
Press Release, 15 Jun 2018

According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 1.9 percent this year and 1.7 percent next year. The GDP growth forecast has thus decreased by 0.5 percentage points for this year and by 0.2 percentage points for the coming year compared to DIW Berlin’s March forecast. ... more

Thorsten Nieder (Copyright)  Wirtschaft Wirtschaften Gasthaus
Weekly Report, 15 Jun 2018

The political conditions for growth are currently dominated by increased uncertainty; this is particularly weighing on investment activity and slowing down the global economy. DIW Berlin is lowering its forecast slightly for this year and the next to 4.1 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. ... more

danstar (Copyright)  Einkaufswagen Supermarkt Farbbild
Weekly Report, 15 Jun 2018

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incomes of private households next year. However, ... more

MichaelM/pixabay (Copyright)  EZB Zentralbank Bank
Weekly Report, 06 Jun 2018

Reorganizing European fiscal policy is a main topic in current reform considerations. In particular, the creation of a European stabilization mechanism is being discussed. This study examines the macroeconomic effects of a stabilization fund, the economic consequences of which are analyzed in an ... more

www.verbraucher-papst.de/pixelio.de (Copyright)  Mindestlohn Geld Scheine
Weekly Report, 24 May 2018

Between 1991 and 2015, the real disposable, needs-adjusted income of persons in private households in Germany rose by 15 percent on average. The majority of the population has benefited from the growth in real income, but the groups at the lower end of the income distribution have not. Inequality in ... more

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by Ferdinand Fichtner, Guido Baldi, Christian Breuer, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Stefan Gebauer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak, in DIW Weekly Report

by Ferdinand Fichtner, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, and Malte Rieth, in DIW Weekly Report

The political conditions for growth are currently dominated by increased uncertainty; this is particularly weighing on investment activity and slowing down the global economy. DIW Berlin is lowering its forecast slightly for this year and the next to 4.1 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. However, global expansion appears to remain intact. In developed economies, primarily the good labor market situation is supporting consumption. In the United States, higher growth than at the beginning of the year is expected due to fiscal stimulus. The outlook for the euro area has deteriorated recently, however. Many emerging countries are also under greater pressure—in addition to domestic issues mainly caused by a tightening of international financial conditions. Over the course of the rest of the year, the rise in global interest rates, the first labor shortages in developed economies, and a further gradual deceleration of growth in China are expected to slow down the global economy more. The main risks for the continuation of the global upswing are primarily the United States’ protectionism and political uncertainties in the euro area.

by Ferdinand Fichtner, Christian Breuer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Thore Schlaak, in DIW Weekly Report

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incomes of private households next year. However, above all, incomes are rising noticeably due to the positive situation in the labor market: the unemployment rate will fall to 5.2 percent this year and 4.9 percent next year. All in all, the German economy will grow by 1.9 percent this year and 1.7 percent in 2019.

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Latest Tweets of DIW Berlin:

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15.06.
DIW Berlin lowers growth forecast due to high uncertainty. A possible escalation in and the economic risks in the area dampen global : Our economic outlook now forecasts 1.9 percent growth in for 2018. New DIW Weekly Report:
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15.06.
„The announcement is bold but the right thing to do“, DIW’s president comments on the Central Bank’s announcements yesterday. It is maintaining enough stability to react to risks, should they materialize. More in the full statement:
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12.06.
Book presentation and discussion “Redesigning the Institutions of ”. Which institutions and rules are needed, and when? June 21, 12.30-14.00, w/ Jan-Egbert Sturm (), (), () and
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12.06.
All the best and good luck to our teams at the today.
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08.06.
Everything is ready for our conference on “Regulatory Challenges in : Trust Online” :
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08.06.
Thanks for sharing. Here is a detailed English version for all non-German readers (open access):
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