Veranstaltungen

Demographie und Bevölkerung
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4. Januar 2017

Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Job risk, fertility, and female labor supply

Recent research from the demographic and economic literature suggests a strong link between labor market uncertainty and fertility. Taking this relationship into account, I take a new look at parental leave policies in Germany. Using a dynamic structural life-cycle model of female labor supply and fertility, I will evaluate the impact of these policies under job risks and with fixed-term contracts. Estimation is work in progress.

Referent/-in
Zeit
12:30 - 13:30
Ort
DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
Ansprechpartner/-in
im DIW Berlin
Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
12. Oktober 2016

Berlin Lunchtime Meeting A lost generation? Which way out? How to integrate jobless, disadvantaged and disengaged young people

Presentation: Stéphane Carcillo | Senior Economist, OECD Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs
Comment: Dr. Volker Born | Director Vocational Education and Training, German Confederation of Skilled Crafts (ZdH)
Moderation: Heino v. Meyer | OECD Berlin Centre

Despite overall positive employment trends a significant number of young people are neither in employment nor in education or training (NEETs).  What is their situation in Germany compared to other OECD Member countries?  Which groups are most affected?  How do early school leavers fare?  What are associated poverty and health risks?  Which policies and measures can address these problems and help tap the potential.  Answers will also be key for the successful integration of young migrants and refugees.  The presentation will draw on results of the recent OECD report ‘Society at a Glance’ as well as on practical experiences with integration of NEETs in Germany.

Zeit
12h00 – 13h00
followed by lunch buffet  
Ort
DIW Berlin (Schumpeter Hall) Mohrenstr. 58 10117 Berlin
Ansprechpartner/-in
im DIW Berlin
Tel.: +49 30 89789 569
22. - 23. Juni 2016

SOEP 12th International German Socio-Economic Panel User Conference (SOEP 2016)

The conference provides researchers who use the SOEP with the opportunity to present and discuss their work with other researchers familiar with SOEP data. Researchers of all disciplines (e.g., economics, demography, geography, political science, public health, psychology, and sociology) who use the SOEP or the SOEP part of the Cross-National Equivalent File (CNEF) are invited to submit an abstract. We especially encourage submissions on inter-generational mobility in income, wealth, educational attainment, fertility, and related areas.

Scientific committee

  • Reiner Pollack, WZB and Freie Universität Berlin
  • Anette Fasang, Humboldt University Berlin, WZB
  • Jan Goebel, DIW Berlin
  • Jürgen Schupp, DIW Berlin and Freie Universität Berlin
  • Carsten Schröder, DIW Berlin and Freie Universität Berlin

Mehr Informationen
Keynote Speakers
  • Vida Malarani, Yale University/USA
    Richard Breen, University of Oxford/UK

  • Ort
    WZB - Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung Reichpietschufer 50 10785 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 283
    15. Juni 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Income Taxation, Benefit Programs and the Inequality of Lifetime Income

    (joint with Peter Haan and Victoria Prowse)

    We show how taxes and three transfer programs—unemployment insurance, social assistance and disability benefits—affect the inequality of lifetime income, and we explore how well taxes and transfer programs mitigate lifetime income risk due to labor market frictions. Calculations based on income trajectories generated from a dynamic life-cycle model show that taxes and transfer programs eliminate about 20% of the inequality of lifetime personal income as measured by the Gini coefficient. Social assistance is the most cost-effective transfer program for reducing lifetime income inequality followed by unemployment insurance; disability benefits are generally received by individuals in the middle of the lifetime income distribution and, therefore, are not strongly redistributive on a lifetime basis. Social assistance eliminates the majority of the lifetime income risk due to labor market frictions. Meanwhile, taxes become less progressive as frictions increase meaning that taxes do nothing to mitigate friction-driven lifetime income risk.

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
    15. - 18. Juni 2016

    Konferenz 30th Annual Conference of the European Society for Population Economics (ESPE)

    The 30th Annual Conference of the European Society for Population Economics (ESPE) will take place on June 15-18, 2016, organized by the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) at the Harnack House, in Berlin.

    The aim of the Conference is to facilitate the exchange of research ideas and results across a range of fields, including the economics of the household, labour economics, public economics, demography, and health economics.

    Marco Francesconi (University of Essex) will serve as the program chair and Daniel D. Schnitzlein (DIW Berlin, Leibniz University Hannover) as coordinator of the local organizing team. The keynote speakers will be Marianne P. Bitler (University of California-Irvine) and David Figlio (Northwestern University).
    The presidential address will be given by Arthur van Soest (Tilburg University). As part of the 30th anniversary of the Society, there will be a series of special sessions delivered by past presidents of ESPE.

    The paper submission site will open by November 1, 2015. The submission deadline is February 1, 2016. Acceptance decisions will be announced by April 1, 2016.

    Mehr Informationen
    Keynote Speakers
  • Marianne P. Bitler (University of California-Irvine)
    David Figlio (Northwestern University)

  • Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 322
    1. Juni 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen The effect of compressing secondary schooling on higher education decisions

    The sustainability of social security systems in many European countries is at risk due to population aging. Many suggestions to increase the share of working-age individuals deal with raising the age for full pension eligibility. A fundamental education reform in Germany extends the working life from the other side: A major education reform in Germany reduced the length of the academic high school track from 9 to 8 years, while leaving the number of overall instruction hours unchanged. Accordingly, the fixed number of instruction hours was distributed over fewer years of schooling, such that learning intensity and weekly workload increased. We investigate the consequences of this so-called G8 reform on students’ higher education decisions. Based on a difference-in-differences approach using high-quality, administrative data on all students in Germany, we find that the G8 reform not only resulted in delayed university enrollment, but also decreased general enrollment rates. Moreover, students' study progress in higher education is negatively affected.
    Our results imply that the G8 reform leads to a reduction in human capital and that the main goal of reducing age at labor market entry may not be fully achieved. 

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
    26. Mai 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar Special: Evaluating patterns of income growth when status matters: a robust approach

    Flaviana Palmisano is a lecturer at the University of Rome LUMSA. Before, she was FNR-Marie Curie fellow at the University of Luxembourg (2014-2016). She holds a PhD in Economics of the University of Bari (2008-2011). Her research interests are in the field of distributional analysis, with a focus on the measurement of the dynamics of poverty, inequality, income mobility and equality of opportunity.

    The presentation might be of interest for anyone who intends to work with the harmonized panel data from the Cross National Equivalent File (CNEF) which includes eight country-specific surveys: the British Household Panel Study (BHPS), the Household Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA), the Korea Labor and Income Panel Study (KLIPS), the Swiss Household Panel (SHP), the Canadian Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics (SLID), the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, and the U.S. Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID). Charlotte Bartels is your contact person at the DIW for all things concerning CNEF (such as data access).

    Referent/-in
  • Flaviana Palmisano (University of Rome)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    25. Mai 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar Gifts and Inheritances: How do They Shape the Wealth Distribution

    Using Data from the Socio-Economic Panel, I estimate the impact of intergenerational transfers on the level and the inequality of wealth. I particularly focus on the propensity of households to save from gifts and inheritances: While many studies on wealth inequality assume that these transfers are fully saved, households typically add only a certain share of them to their previously accumulated wealth. I find that households on average save only around 60 Cents of an inherited Euro. Quantile regression estimates then reveal that the propensity to save increases almost monotonically over the wealth distribution. Using the fitted values, I simulate the wealth distribution with and without transfers. I however do not find evidence that the heterogeneity in the propensity to save translates in a disequalizing effect of intergenerational transfers on the wealth distribution.

    Referent/-in
  • Marten von Werder (Freie Universität Berlin)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    4. Mai 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Income and the Utilization of Long-Term Care: Evidence from Short-Term Income Shocks

    Ex post moral hazard poses a concern to private insurers and to policymakers considering the expansion of publicly subsidized health insurance.  This is especially true of private long-term care insurance markets in the United States, which are small and have been contracting in recent years.  A significant publicly administered option was passed as part of the Affordable Care Act but then repealed.  Long-term care thus constitutes the largest out-of-pocket health care expense facing the elderly in the United States today.  In formulating policy to mitigate this risk, it is important to distinguish moral hazard arising from price effects, which may be considered socially inefficient spending, from moral hazard arising from income effects, which may represent a socially efficient increase in access to care.  Little evidence exists, however, on the effects of income on utilization of long-term care services.  In this paper, we examine the purchase of long-term care services following plausibly exogenous positive shocks to income.  We find that positive income shocks lead to a greater probability of purchase of home-based long-term care but not of nursing home care.
    (joint with Daifeng He, Jing Dong and John Nyman)

    Referent/-in
  • R. Tamara Konetzka (University of Chicago)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
    27. April 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar The Impact of Private and Public Childcare Provision on the Distribution of Children's Incomes in Germany

    This paper investigates the impact of extending disposable cash income of children by the monetary value of private and public childcare provision on economic inequality in Germany between 2009 and 2012. It takes account of the multidimensionality of children's well-being and access to economic resources. Combining survey data from the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) and Familien in Deutschland (FiD) with administrative data from the German Federal Statistical Office, extended income inequality is found to be significantly lower than cash income inequality across all years. In addition, extended income inequality tends to decrease over time, whereas cash income inequality slightly increases. This difference is due to the expansion of public childcare provision, which profits children living with single parents most, and gives additional evidence for its equalizing potential as a policy instrument.

    Referent/-in
  • Maximilian Stockhausen (Freie Universität Berlin)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    20. April 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Capturing actual work hours and preferred work hours in Germany

    The estimation of over- and underemployment in Germany is normally based on data of Mikrozensus (Ehing 2014: 4) or of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). However, the results differ and may lead to different political conclusions. A recent publication of the Statistisches Bundesamt (Rengers 2015), which is based on the Mikrozensus 2014, points out that for 9.3 percent of the overall labour force actual work hours and preferred work hours differ. A majority of them would prefer to increase their actual work hours. Contrary to that, estimations based on SOEP 2012 (Holst/Wieber 2014) show that 71 percent of all employees face a mismatch between actual and preferred work hours with a majority preferring a reduction of their work hours.

    Referent/-in
  • Julia Bringmann, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
    6. April 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen What drives ethnic de-segregation: selective mobility of immigrants out of co-ethnic neighbourhoods

    The value of segregated neighbourhoods in the process of integration is highly debated with often ideologically charged arguments. This study investigates the effect of socio-economic and cultural assimilation on selective mobility of immigrants. For that, detailed neighbourhood and housing market information are linked to representative household panel data for Germany. The data allows distinguishing the ethnic composition of households and their neighbours. This enables a fine-grained assessment on the relation between co-ethnicity and mobility while controlling for regional supply and demand of housing. As a result, higher income and being a second-generation immigrant are associated with moving out (vs. moving among) co-ethnic neighbourhoods. Other indicators of cultural assimilation such as German language proficiency, holding a German passport and affiliation to one’s home country show no significant effect. Feeling generally disadvantaged due to origin has also little explanatory power for the residential behaviour of immigrants. However, experienced discrimination in the housing is particularly apparent among out movers. The results are in line with the spatial assimilation model but emphasize structural and not cultural terms that drive moving out of co-ethnic neighbourhoods. The popular accusation of ethnic self-segregation should therefore be revisited and contrasted with barriers for residential and social mobility among immigrants.

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 268
    16. März 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar Personality and Marriage: Selection or Causal Effects?

    Personality traits (also called noncognitive skills) are an important predictor for many economic outcomes and indicators of wellbeing, such as labor force participation, income, and health. While it is well established that personality changes during childhood and can be influenced by interventions, much less is known about whether personality is malleable during young adulthood. This is because of the difficulty of separating correlation and causal effects for a period of life where there are few controlled or natural experiments available.

    In this research, we empirically investigate whether marriage during young adulthood affects personality. To separate selection into marriage by personality from a causal effect of marriage in young adulthood on personality, we use as identification strategy the sharp decrease in marriage rates in East Germany induced by the German reunification.

    Referent/-in
  • Kristin Kleinjans (California State University)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    9. März 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Full or partial retirement? A dynamic discrete choice analysis

    We consider forward looking older workers deciding between immediate retirement and working full-time or part-time until a given retirement age. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of modelling the part-time work decision in the option value and the dynamic programming models.

    Referent/-in
  • Tunga Kantarci (Tilburg University, The Netherlands)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 264
    2. März 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar Political Socialization after Parental Separation: Breaking with the Traditional Family Model

    The increase in divorce rates over the past decades challenges the traditional image of the two-parent family. Yet, this traditional view of the family remains most often central to political socialization research. Therefore, this study investigates how parental separation affects the political socialization process, by comparing adults who did and did not experience parental separation while living at home. I firstly expect that parental separation yields more left-wing ideologies and more favourable attitudes towards redistribution, because of the economic deprivation that is often caused by parental separation. Secondly, I expect more liberal attitudes towards sexual and family ethics among adult children of whom the parents have separated during their childhood, because of the experience of parents breaking with traditional family norms. As a first step, pan-European multilevel analyses are performed using the European Values Study to investigate to what extent the political preferences and attitudes towards sexual and family ethics of adult children with divorced parents differ, from those without separated parents. Secondly, household data from Germany (G-SOEP) is used, that allows to control for parental preferences, and to estimate sibling fixed effect models in which the effect of divorce on political attitudes is investigated, by comparing siblings from the same family with differential experiences regarding their parental separation.

    Referent/-in
  • Mathilde M. van Ditmars (European University Institute)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    17. Februar 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar Dynastic Inequality and Persistence of Human Capital Over Three Generations

    Empirical research on the persistence of inequality has been largely restricted to a two generational framework, mainly due to a lack of appropriate data on multiple generations. At the same time, it is often assumed that the intergenerational persistence of socio-economic outcomes follows a first-order Markov process; i.e. the influence of ancestors vanishes within few generations. However, an increasing number of studies show that this assumption should be revisited. This study aims to quantify the extend of persistence of human capital over three generations, comparing the US and Germany. Hereby, we make use of the rich informational content of nationally representative household survey data; the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) and the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Applying different measures, we evaluate the persistence of human capital over a span of over 120 years. Our results highlight a relatively high persistence of human capital over three generations in both countries, while intergenerational mobility is slightly lower in Germany than in the US. Finally, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the grandparental coefficient is higher than the one obtained by an iterated regression procedure assuming an AR(1) process, shedding light on the long-run aspects of equality of opportunity within the two societies.
    (joint with Maximilian Stockhausen, FU Berlin)

    Referent/-in
  • Guido Neidhöfer (FU Berlin)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    10. Februar 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Full or partial retirement? Effects of the pension incentives and increasing retirement age in the Netherlands and the United States

    The share of the older workers in the labor force has increased due to population aging and pension reforms in many countries. However, rules of the public and private pension schemes and restrictions from the employers still require large populations of older workers with possibly heterogeneous work preferences to retire fully at a given age. We study the preferences of older people for a rich set of retirement trajectories characterized by early or delayed full retirement as well as partial retirement at various ages in the Netherlands and the United States. Two in five prefer partial retirement over early or delayed abrupt full retirement. This suggests that partial retirement can substantially increase the utility derived from work in old age. Furthermore, we study the effects of the pension incentives and increasing retirement age on the preferences to delay retirement fully or partially as means of reducing public expenditure. Individuals want to use partial retirement to extend their work lives if deferring pension rights are made actuarially attractive or if pension accruals are made less generous. On the other hand, as the retirement age increases, individuals want to retire early or work part-time instead of full-time. The comparison of the results between the Netherlands and the United States shows that while people in the Netherlands are responsive to a substitution effect of higher pensions, people in the United States are responsive to an income effect of higher pensions.

    Referent/-in
  • Tunga Kantarci (Tilburg University, The Netherlands)

  • Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 264
    27. Januar 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Career Breaks of Mothers and the Role of Time Discounting

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 264
    20. Januar 2016

    SOEP Brown Bag Seminar The Determinants of Natives’ Intergroup Relationships with Migrants - An Analysis using SOEP-data

     Private intergroup relationships between natives and migrants, such as friendships and companionships, are traditionally treated as important indicator of migrant integration. In addition, they are discussed as a facilitating factor in migrants’ search for high-quality work, as a way to diminish mutual prejudice and to break stereotypes and finally as opportunity for natives to acquire skills to deal with challenges beyond the borders of their home-country. In my analysis, I try to identify personal characteristics and environmental factors that influence German natives’ personal relationships with persons of non-German origin. Ego-centered network research on intergroup relationships has so far neglected the native part of such relationships in favor of the non-native side. Information on over 18,000 German natives’ visiting contacts at home were collected by the Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) between 2007 and 2015 in five waves and thereby enable longitudinal analyses that focus on intra-personal changes. Exploiting SOEP-survey-data enriched with small-scale neighborhood information, a wide range of possible determinants, including occupational status, neighborhood composition and attitudes towards migration are researched.

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 223
    13. Januar 2016

    Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen Labor Market Frictions and Retirement Timing in Germany – A Structural Model and Subsequent Ex-Ante Policy Evaluation

    Losing a job after age 60 in Germany is virtually equivalent to the end of one’s working life. Roughly 25% of job exits after age 60 are involuntary with considerable variation along region, age, tenure and education. Considering this, I estimate a structural model of retirement timing in the presence of labor market frictions. A subsequent ex-ante policy analysis is meant to illustrate the likely consequences of shifting the regular retirement age to 67 (“Rente mit 67”) in terms of average retirement age. Scenarios without frictions provide an upper bound for the reaction potential of the work force and likely to overestimate the true effect.

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    12:30 - 13:30
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Eleanor-Dulles-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 5.2.010 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 264
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