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Events of DIW Berlin

13. Juli 2016

DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Econometrics Spillover Effects from Mass Layoffs

Using administrative data of all workers and firms in Germany, we quantify the spillover effects of mass layoffs. Our empirical strategy combines matching with an event study approach to trace employment and wages in regions hit by a mass layoff to suitable control regions. We find sizable and persistent negative spillover effects on the regional economy: regions, and especially firms producing in the same sector as the layoff plant, lose many more jobs than in the initial layoff. Based on a simple model of local labor markets, our estimates imply an agglomeration elasticity of 0.19. We find much smaller effects for local firms in the non-tradable sector indicating a local multiplier of around 0.5. Despite substantial employment losses for the region, we find much smaller negative consequences for workers employed in the region at the time of the mass layoff. At least half of the difference is accounted for by the geographic relocation of workers across local labor markets.

Mehr Informationen
  • Christina Gathmann, Universität Heidelberg

  • Zeit
    12:00 - 13:15
    DIW Berlin (Gustav-Schmoller-Raum) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 581
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 439