Aufsätze referiert extern - Web of Science
Jean-Francois Maystadt, Margherita Calderone, Liangzhi You
In: Journal of Economic Geography 15 (2015), 3, S. 649-671
Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24–31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.
Keywords: Weather shocks, violent conflict, Sudan, disaggregated spatial analysis, pastoralism