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Who Bears the Burden of Social Security Contributions in Germany? Evidence from 35 Years of Administrative Data

Discussion Papers 1627, 14 S.

Kai-Uwe Müller, Michael Neumann

2016

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Published in: De Economist 165 (2017), 2, S. 165-179

Abstract

This paper provides evidence over a long time period on the question of who bears the burden of social security contributions (SSC) in Germany. Following Alvaredo et al. (2016) we exploit kinks in the budget set generated by a drop in the marginal SSC rate at earnings caps. Based on cross-sectional earnings distributions the framework does not rely on policy reforms. Applying the approach to administrative data for West Germany facilitates a comprehensive incidence analysis between 1975 and 2010. We find that neither employers nor employees shift a substantial part of their SSC burden. These results are consistent over the whole time period and in robustness checks corroborating previous findings. A small trend towards a slight increase in the SSC burden falling on employees is not statistically significant.

Kai-Uwe Müller

Head of the FIS Junior Research Group Time Policy in the Public Economics Department



JEL-Classification: H22;J38;H55
Keywords: Incidence, social security contributions, discontinuities
Frei zugängliche Version: (econstor)
http://hdl.handle.net/10419/148561

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