Veranstaltungen der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

113 Ergebnisse, ab 81
19. Oktober 2016
Seminar

Monetary facts revisited

Speaker: Boris Hofmann, Bank for International Settlements
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

This paper uses a cross-country database covering 46 economies over the post-war period to revisit two key monetary facts: (i) the long-run link between money growth and inflation and (ii) the link between credit growth and financial crises. The analysis reveals that the former has weakened over time, while the latter has become stronger. Moreover, the money-inflation nexus has been stronger in ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
17. August 2016
Seminar

Why Are Big Banks Getting Bigger?

Speaker: Christoffer Koch, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

We analyze the increasing concentration of U.S. banking assets using nonparametric empirical methods that characterize dynamic power law distributions in terms of two shaping factors the asset reversion rates and idiosyncratic volatilities for different size-ranked banking institutions. We show that the greater concentration of bank-holding company (BHC) assets is caused by decreased mean ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
  • Unterlagen
20. Juli 2016
Seminar

The risk-return relationship

Speaker: Minxian Yang, University of New South Wales
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

The risk return relationship is analysed in bivariate models for return and realised variance (RV) series. Based on daily time series from 21 international market indices for more than 13 years (January 2000 to February 2013), the empirical findings support the arguments of risk return tradeoff, volatility feedback and statistical balance. It is argued that the empirical risk return relationship ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
  • Unterlagen
13. Juli 2016
Seminar

Spillover Effects from Mass Layoffs

Speaker: Christina Gathmann, Universität Heidelberg
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

Using administrative data of all workers and firms in Germany, we quantify the spillover effects of mass layoffs. Our empirical strategy combines matching with an event study approach to trace employment and wages in regions hit by a mass layoff to suitable control regions. We find sizable and persistent negative spillover effects on the regional economy: regions, and especially firms producing in ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
6. Juli 2016
Seminar

Estimating the Benefits of European Integration

Speaker: Nauro Campos, Brunel University London
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

Brexit caught everybody by surprise and prominent economists were no exception: Krugman called it a “tragic development,” Sachs “a watershed moment,” and Reinhart equated Brexit to “a blow to globalisation.” Uncertainty about the impacts of Brexit on the UK economy is large, but larger still is that regarding what happens to the European Union. In this seminar ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
22. Juni 2016
Industrietagung

Zukunft der Industrie − Den industriellen Wandel gemeinsam gestalten

Ort: KfW Bankengruppe
Eingang Charlottenstraße 33a
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 10:00-21:00

Neben der traditionellen vormittäglichen Präsentation der aktuellen Konjunkturprognosen des DIW Berlin (Sommergrundlinien 2016) und des DIHK (Binnenkonjunktur übertüncht Exportschwäche - die Industrie im Frühsommer 2016) erwartet Sie in diesem Jahr eine Besonderheit: Gemeinsam mit dem Bündnis „Zukunft der Industrie“ widmen wir uns der Frage, wie ...

  • lock_openöffentlich
  • Unterlagen
22. Juni 2016
Seminar

Forward Guidance and Asset Prices

Speaker: Refet Gürkaynak, Bilkent University
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

  • locknicht öffentlich
15. Juni 2016
Seminar

Firm dynamics with frictional product and labor markets

Speaker: Leo Kaas, Universität Konstanz
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

We examine empirically and theoretically the joint dynamics of prices, output, employment and wages across firms. We first analyze administrative firm data for the German manufacturing sector for which price and quantity information at the nine-digit product level, together with employment, working hours and wages are available. We then develop a dynamic model of heterogeneous firms who compete ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
8. Juni 2016
Veranstaltung

Europe at a Crossroads: How to improve Economic Governance and Growth Performance of the Eurozone?

Speaker: Presentation by François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Banque de FranceModeratorMarcel Fratzscher, President of the German Institute for Economic Research
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 10.30 a.m. - 12.00 a.m.

The structures of the European project have been helping the continent overcome many effects of the current crisis. Nevertheless, these shocks have also pointed to shortcomings in its construction, and eurozone economic governance is still lagging behind in coordination of fiscal and structural policies and in terms of risk sharing. Such reforms are imperative to lessen the burden on monetary ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
1. Juni 2016
Seminar

Does the New Keynesian Model Have a Uniqueness Problem?
L. Christiano, M. Eichenbaum and B. Johannsen

Speaker: Lawrence Christiano, Northwestern University
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

This paper addresses whether non-uniqueness of equilibrium is a substantive problem for policy analysis in New-Keynesian (NK) models. There would be a substantive problem if there were no compelling way to select among different equilibria that give different answers to critical policy questions. In fact there is: stability-under-learning. We focus our analysis on the efficacy of …fiscal policy ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
  • Unterlagen
25. Mai 2016
Seminar

Income inequality and macroeconomic instability

Speaker: Till van Treeck, Universität Duisburg-Essen
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

We investigate whether changes in income distribution can explain current account developments in a sample of 20 countries for the period 1972-2007. We analyze the relationship between the personal and the functional income distribution in our sample, before disentangling their effects on the household and corporate financial balances and the current account. We find that rising (top-end) personal ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
18. Mai 2016
Seminar

Currency Wars: Who Gains from the Battle?

Speaker: Roy Kouwenberg, Mahidol University
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

We study the growth effects of currency undervaluation when countries employ active exchange rate management policies or impose capital controls, using a panel dataset of 185 countries. Applying two-stage regressions, we find that changes in undervaluation driven by exchange rate management and capital control policies have no significant impact on economic growth. Undervaluation that leads to ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
11. Mai 2016
Seminar

Optimal Margins and Equilibrium Prices

Speaker: Florian Heider, European Central Bank
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

We study the interaction between contracting and equilibrium pricing when risk-averse hedgers purchase insurance from risk-neutral investors subject to moral hazard. Moral hazard limits risk-sharing. In the individually optimal contract, margins are called (after bad news) to improve risk-sharing. But margin calls depress the price of investors' assets, affecting other investors negatively. ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
4. Mai 2016
Seminar

An Appraisal of Taylor Rules in an Open Economy

Speaker: Alfred Guender, University of Canterbury
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

  • locknicht öffentlich
  • Unterlagen
28. April 2016
Veranstaltung

Panel discussion and Q&A followed by a reception

Speaker: Judy Dempsey | Carnegie Europe and editor in chief of Strategic Europe Joschka Fischer | Former Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor of Germany David Lidington | Minister of State for Europe of the United Kingdom Joschka Fischer | Former Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor of Germany Christian Odendahl | Chief Economist, Centre for European Reform , Marcel Fratzscher
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 16.30 Uhr - 18.00 Uhr

Britain is one of the most important partners of Germany in Europe, yet the upcoming referendum might force the UK out of the EU. Together with invited guests, we want to explore the historical and political aspects of the British-European relationship and discuss the future of Britain and Germany in the EU.

  • locknicht öffentlich
27. April 2016
Seminar

Nominal and Real Stochastic Convergence of the BRICS Economies

Speaker: Renatas Kizys, University of Portsmouth
Ort: Gustav-Schmoller-Raum
DIW Berlin im Quartier 110
Room 3.3.002A
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

  • locknicht öffentlich
26. April 2016
Veranstaltung

IWF-Report zur globalen Finanzmarktstabilität

Speaker: Präsentation: Dr. Gaston Gelos, IWF Internationaler WährungsfondsModeration: Dr. Ferdinand Fichtner, DIW Berlin, Ferdinand Fichtner
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 11.00 Uhr bis 12.00 Uhr

Gaston Gelos stellt den im April 2016 veröffentlichten Bericht zur globalen Finanzmarktstabilität vor. Welches Risiko birgt der Versicherungssektor für die Finanzstabilität? Und: Welche internationalen Auswirkungen haben Finanzmarktbewegungen in Schwellenländern?

  • locknicht öffentlich
20. April 2016
Seminar

Bootstrap Joint Prediction Regions

Speaker: Michael Wolf, Universität Zürich
Ort: Ferdinand-Friedensburg-Raum
DIW Berlin
Room 2.3.001
Mohrenstraße 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 12:00 - 13:15

Many statistical applications require the forecast of a random variable of interest over several periods into the future. The sequence of individual forecasts, one period at a time, is called a path forecast, where the term path refers to the sequence of individual future realizations of the random variable. The problem of constructing a corresponding joint prediction region has been rather ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
30. März 2016
Veranstaltung

Asian Development Outlook 2016

Speaker: Introduction by Marcel Fratzscher, President of DIW BerlinOpening Remarks by Hans-Joachim Fuchtel, Parliamentary State Secretary, BMZ Presentation of the Asian Development Outlook 2016 by Juzhong Zhuang, Deputy Chief Economist of ADB Panel Discussion withLudger Schuknecht, Head of the Directorate General I, Federal Ministry of Finance Jörg Zeuner, Chief Economist at KfW Banking Group and Head of the Economics DepartmentJuzhong Zhuang, Deputy Chief Economist of ADBChair: Marcel Fratzscher, President of DIW Berlin
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 2.00 p.m - 4.00 p.m.

Presentation of the Asian Development Outlook 2016 by Juzhong Zhuang, Deputy Chief Economist of ADB. Juzhong Zhuang joined the ADB in 1997, and currently works in the Economics and Research Department. His division produces policy research on long-term development issues facing Asia and the Pacific and supports ADB’s operations to strengthen the economic rationale of its lending and non ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
9. Februar 2016
Veranstaltung

Tackling Poverty and Boosting Shared Prosperity in the face of Global Challenges Ahead

Speaker: Sri Mulyani IndrawatiManaging Director and Chief Operating Officer of the World Bank , Marcel Fratzscher
Ort: Schumpeter Hall
Mohrenstr. 58
10117 Berlin
Zeit: 16.00 Uhr - 17.30 Uhr

We ended 2015 with good news: For the first time in history, the number of extremely poor people dropped below 10 percent. The new sustainable development goals and the Paris climate deal bring momentum to our effort to lift the remaining 700 million poor out of poverty while generating climate-smart economic growth. Hardly ever before did so many governments, businesses, international ...

  • locknicht öffentlich
113 Ergebnisse, ab 81