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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In the framework of the Paris Agreement, the European Union (EU) will have to firmly set decarbonization targets to 2050. However, the viability on these targets is an ongoing discussion. The European Commission has made several propositions for energy and climate “roadmaps”. In this regard, this paper contributes by analyzing alternative pathways derived in a unique modelling process. As part of the ...
In:
Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy
9 (2020), 1, S. 121-135
| Pedro Crespo Del Granado, Gustav Resch, Franziska Holz, Marijke Welisch, Jasper Geipel, Michael Hartner, Sebastian Forthuber, Frank Sensfuss, Luis Olmos, Christiane Bernath, Sara Lumbreras, Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller, Stephanie Heitel, Andrea Herbst, Charlie Wilson, Andrés Ramos
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Climate-related asset stranding refers to the depreciation of assets – such as resource reserves, infrastructure, or industries – resulting from the unanticipated changes, such as the tightening of climate policies. Although developing countries – especially fossil-fuel exporters – may be most concerned by this issue, its analysis in development (economics) has so far been limited.We aim at enhancing ...
In:
World Development
130 (2020), 104947, 17 S.
| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In:
Utilities Policy
62 (2020) 100993, 4 S.
| Franziska Holz, Charikleia Karakostas, Anne Neumann
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump has promised to stop the ongoing spiralling down of the U.S. coal industry. We discuss the origins of the decline and assess the effects of policy interventions by the Trump administration. We find that, with fierce competition from natural gas and renewables, a further decrease of coal consumption must be expected by the old and inefficient U.S. coal-fired ...
In:
Climate Policy
19 (2019), 10, S. 1310-1324
| Roman Mendelevitch, Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary scenarios (‘narratives’) that provide insight into four distinct and diverging yet plausible worlds. They combine qualitative and quantitative elements in order to reflect the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. We use the STEMPLE+ framework to include social, technological, economic, military (security), political, environmental, ...
In:
Energy Research & Social Science
58 (2019), 101250, 23 S.
| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The Netherlands have been a pivotal supplier in Western European natural gas markets in the last decades. Recent analyses show that the Netherlands would play an important role in replacing Russian supplies in Germany and France in case of a Russian export disruption. Lately, however, the Netherlands have suffered from a series of earthquakes that are related to the natural gas production in the major ...
In:
Energy Economics
64 (2017), S. 520-529
| Franziska Holz, Hanna Brauers, Philipp M. Richter, Thorsten Roobek
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In this paper, we analyse infrastructure needs of the European natural gas market in response to decarbonisation of the European energy system. To this end, we use numerical modelling and apply the Global Gas Model. We investigate three pathways of future natural gas consumption: i) a decreasing natural gas consumption, following the scenarios of the EU Energy Roadmap 2050; ii) a moderate increase ...
In:
The Energy Journal
37 (2016), SI3, S. 33-59
| Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The upheaval in global crude oil markets and the boom in shale oil production in North America brought scrutiny on the US export ban for crude oil from 1975. The ban was eventually lifted in early 2016. This paper examines the shifts of global trade flows and strategic refinery investments in a spatial, game-theoretic partial equilibrium model. We consider detailed oil supply chain infrastructure with ...
In:
Energy Policy
97 (2016), S. 258-266
| Lissy Langer, Daniel Huppmann, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Recent supply security concerns in Europe have revived interest into the natural gas market. We investigate infrastructure investment and trade in an imperfect market structure for various possible risks for both supply and demand. We focus on three possible scenarios in a stochastic global gas market model: (i) transit of Russian gas via Ukraine that may be disrupted from 2020 on; (ii) natural gas ...
In:
Energy Policy
94 (2016), S. 468-479
| Ruud Egging, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Natural gas plays an important role in the global energy system as an input to power generation, heating, and industry. This article identifies key drivers and uncertainties for natural gas markets in the coming decades. These include the availability of natural gas from conventional and unconventional sources, the role of international trade, and the impact of climate policies. We build on model-based ...
In:
Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
9 (2015), Iss. 1, 85-106
| Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging