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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Coal consumption and production have sharply declined in recent years in the U.S., despite political support. Reasons are mostly unfavorable economic conditions for coal, including competition from natural gas and renewables in the power sector, as well as an aging coal-fired power plant fleet. Nevertheless, coal remains a major energy source in the North American energy markets. Supplementing EMF34 ...
In:
Energy Policy
149 (2021), 112097, 13 S.
| Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We compare prominent global energy scenarios of organizations and companies. We supplement the analysis with four own scenarios, which were derived from structured analytic techniques in combination with a numerical global energy and resource market model (Multimod). Our paper provides three central contributions: (i) a compact survey of selected outlooks with meta characteristics (conceptual nature, ...
In:
Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy
9 (2020), 1, S. 21-42
| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hashem al-Kuhlani
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In the framework of the Paris Agreement, the European Union (EU) will have to firmly set decarbonization targets to 2050. However, the viability on these targets is an ongoing discussion. The European Commission has made several propositions for energy and climate “roadmaps”. In this regard, this paper contributes by analyzing alternative pathways derived in a unique modelling process. As part of the ...
In:
Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy
9 (2020), 1, S. 121-135
| Pedro Crespo Del Granado, Gustav Resch, Franziska Holz, Marijke Welisch, Jasper Geipel, Michael Hartner, Sebastian Forthuber, Frank Sensfuss, Luis Olmos, Christiane Bernath, Sara Lumbreras, Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller, Stephanie Heitel, Andrea Herbst, Charlie Wilson, Andrés Ramos
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Climate-related asset stranding refers to the depreciation of assets – such as resource reserves, infrastructure, or industries – resulting from the unanticipated changes, such as the tightening of climate policies. Although developing countries – especially fossil-fuel exporters – may be most concerned by this issue, its analysis in development (economics) has so far been limited.We aim at enhancing ...
In:
World Development
130 (2020), 104947, 17 S.
| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In:
Utilities Policy
62 (2020) 100993, 4 S.
| Franziska Holz, Charikleia Karakostas, Anne Neumann
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump has promised to stop the ongoing spiralling down of the U.S. coal industry. We discuss the origins of the decline and assess the effects of policy interventions by the Trump administration. We find that, with fierce competition from natural gas and renewables, a further decrease of coal consumption must be expected by the old and inefficient U.S. coal-fired ...
In:
Climate Policy
19 (2019), 10, S. 1310-1324
| Roman Mendelevitch, Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary scenarios (‘narratives’) that provide insight into four distinct and diverging yet plausible worlds. They combine qualitative and quantitative elements in order to reflect the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. We use the STEMPLE+ framework to include social, technological, economic, military (security), political, environmental, ...
In:
Energy Research & Social Science
58 (2019), 101250, 23 S.
| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The Netherlands have been a pivotal supplier in Western European natural gas markets in the last decades. Recent analyses show that the Netherlands would play an important role in replacing Russian supplies in Germany and France in case of a Russian export disruption. Lately, however, the Netherlands have suffered from a series of earthquakes that are related to the natural gas production in the major ...
In:
Energy Economics
64 (2017), S. 520-529
| Franziska Holz, Hanna Brauers, Philipp M. Richter, Thorsten Roobek
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In this paper, we analyse infrastructure needs of the European natural gas market in response to decarbonisation of the European energy system. To this end, we use numerical modelling and apply the Global Gas Model. We investigate three pathways of future natural gas consumption: i) a decreasing natural gas consumption, following the scenarios of the EU Energy Roadmap 2050; ii) a moderate increase ...
In:
The Energy Journal
37 (2016), SI3, S. 33-59
| Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The upheaval in global crude oil markets and the boom in shale oil production in North America brought scrutiny on the US export ban for crude oil from 1975. The ban was eventually lifted in early 2016. This paper examines the shifts of global trade flows and strategic refinery investments in a spatial, game-theoretic partial equilibrium model. We consider detailed oil supply chain infrastructure with ...
In:
Energy Policy
97 (2016), S. 258-266
| Lissy Langer, Daniel Huppmann, Franziska Holz