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129 Ergebnisse, ab 41
  • DIW focus 5 / 2020

    No Need for New Natural Gas Pipelines and LNG Terminals in Europe

    Natural gas could play an increasing role in the German energy system following the coal exit decided in July 2020 by the German parliament. However, natural gas has no climate benefit compared to coal. What is more, Europe risks to become a battle-ground for the conflict between Russia and the United States. The construction of the Baltic Sea pipeline Nordstream 2 has set in motion a downward spiral ...

    2020| Franziska Holz, Claudia Kemfert
  • Diskussionspapiere 2003 / 2022

    Stranded Assets in the Coal Export Industry? The Case of the Australian Galilee Basin

    Steam coal exporters face increasing uncertainty about future coal demand and risks of asset stranding. Nevertheless, new export-oriented coal mine projects are still brought forward. In this study, we use the coal sector model COALMOD-World to assess the economic prospects of investments in the export-oriented steam coal sector, and in particular of coal mines in the Galilee Basin, Australia. We parameterize ...

    2022| Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz, Lennart Rathje, Thomas Mitterecker
  • Diskussionspapiere 1880 / 2020

    The U.S. Coal Sector between Shale Gas and Renewables: Last Resort Coal Exports?

    Coal consumption and production have sharply declined in recent years in the U.S., despite political support. Reasons are mostly unfavorable economic conditions for coal, including competition from natural gas and renewables in the power sector, as well as an aging coal- fired power plant fleet. The U.S. Energy Information Administration as well as most models of North American energy markets depict ...

    2020| Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
  • Diskussionspapiere 1837 / 2019

    Energy Outlooks Compared: Global and Regional Insights

    We compare prominent global energy scenarios of organisations and companies. We supplement the analysis with four own scenarios, which were derived from structured analytic techniques in combination with a numerical global energy and resource market model (Multimod). Our study provides three central contributions: (i) a compact survey of selected outlooks with meta characteristics (conceptual nature, ...

    2019| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hashem al-Kuhlani
  • Diskussionspapiere 1790 / 2019

    The Death Spiral of Coal in the USA: Will New U.S. Energy Policy Change the Tide?

    The Trump administration has promised to stop the spiraling down of the U.S. coal industry that has been going on for several years. We discuss the origins of the decline of the U.S. coal industry and new policy interventions by the Trump administration. We find that a further decrease of coal consumption in the U.S. electricity sector must be expected because of the old and inefficient U.S. coal-fired ...

    2019| Roman Mendelevitch, Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
  • Diskussionspapiere 1782 / 2019

    Global Futures of Energy, Climate, and Policy: Qualitative and Quantitative Foresight towards 2055

    Existing long-term energy and climate scenarios are typically a rather simple extrapolation of past trends. Both qualitative and quantitative outlooks co-exist, but they often focus narrowly on individual perspectives, which is opposed to the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. Therefore, this study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary narratives that give insight into four ...

    2019| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hasan Basri Tosun
  • Diskussionspapiere 1548 / 2016

    Lifting the US Crude Oil Export Ban: A Numerical Partial-Equilibrium Analysis

    The upheaval in global crude oil markets and the boom in oil production from shale plays in North America have brought scrutiny on the export ban for crude oil in the United States. This paper examines the global flows and strategic refinery adjustments in a spatial, game-theoretic partial-equilibrium model. We consider de- tailed supply chain infrastructure with multiple crude oil qualities (supply), ...

    2016| Lissy Langer, Daniel Huppmann, Franziska Holz
  • Diskussionspapiere 1516 / 2015

    Shaking Dutch Grounds Won't Shatter the European Gas Market

    The Netherlands have been a pivotal supplier in Western European natural gas markets in the last decades. Recent analyses show that the Netherlands would play an important role in replacing Russian supplies in Germany and France in case of Russian export disruption (Richter & Holz, 2015). However, the Netherlands have suffered from regular earthquakes in recent years that are related to the natural ...

    2015| Franziska Holz, Hanna Brauers, Philipp M. Richter, Thorsten Roobeek
  • Diskussionspapiere 1498 / 2015

    Local Consequences of Global Uncertainty: Capacity Development and LNG Trade under Shale Gas and Demand Uncertainty and Disruption Risk

    Recent supply security concerns in Europe have revived interest into the natural gas market. Here, we investigate investment behavior and trade in an imperfect market structure under uncertainty in both supply and demand. We focus on three uncertain events: i) transit of Russian gas via Ukraine that may be disrupted from 2020 on; ii) natural gas intensity of electricity generation in OECD countries ...

    2015| Ruud Egging, Franziska Holz
  • Diskussionspapiere 1383 / 2014

    All Quiet on the Eastern Front? Disruption Scenarios of Russian Natural Gas Supply to Europe

    The Russian-Ukrainian crisis has revitalized the European concerns of supply disruptions of natural gas as experienced in 2006 and 2009. However, the European supply situation, regulation and infrastructure have changed since: imports aremore diversified, EU member states better connected and a common regulation on the security of supply has been introduced. Nevertheless, several East European countries ...

    2014| Philipp M. Richter, Franziska Holz
129 Ergebnisse, ab 41
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