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104 Ergebnisse, ab 71
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Between Stranded Assets and Green Transformation: Fossil-Fuel-Producing Developing Countries Towards 2055

Climate-related asset stranding refers to the depreciation of assets – such as resource reserves, infrastructure, or industries – resulting from the unanticipated changes, such as the tightening of climate policies. Although developing countries – especially fossil-fuel exporters – may be most concerned by this issue, its analysis in development (economics) has so far been limited.We aim at enhancing ...

In: World Development 130 (2020), 104947, 17 S. | Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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The Death Spiral of Coal in the U.S. Will Changes in U.S. Policy Turn the Tide?

The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump has promised to stop the ongoing spiralling down of the U.S. coal industry. We discuss the origins of the decline and assess the effects of policy interventions by the Trump administration. We find that, with fierce competition from natural gas and renewables, a further decrease of coal consumption must be expected by the old and inefficient U.S. coal-fired ...

In: Climate Policy 19 (2019), 10, S. 1310-1324 | Roman Mendelevitch, Christian Hauenstein, Franziska Holz
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Anticipating Global Energy, Climate and Policy in 2055: Constructing Qualitative and Quantitative Narratives

This study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary scenarios (‘narratives’) that provide insight into four distinct and diverging yet plausible worlds. They combine qualitative and quantitative elements in order to reflect the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. We use the STEMPLE+ framework to include social, technological, economic, military (security), political, environmental, ...

In: Energy Research & Social Science 58 (2019), 101250, 23 S. | Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz
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Shaking Dutch Grounds Won't Shatter the European Gas Market

The Netherlands have been a pivotal supplier in Western European natural gas markets in the last decades. Recent analyses show that the Netherlands would play an important role in replacing Russian supplies in Germany and France in case of a Russian export disruption. Lately, however, the Netherlands have suffered from a series of earthquakes that are related to the natural gas production in the major ...

In: Energy Economics 64 (2017), S. 520-529 | Franziska Holz, Hanna Brauers, Philipp M. Richter, Thorsten Roobek
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The Role of Natural Gas in a Low-Carbon Europe: Infrastructure and Supply Security

In this paper, we analyse infrastructure needs of the European natural gas market in response to decarbonisation of the European energy system. To this end, we use numerical modelling and apply the Global Gas Model. We investigate three pathways of future natural gas consumption: i) a decreasing natural gas consumption, following the scenarios of the EU Energy Roadmap 2050; ii) a moderate increase ...

In: The Energy Journal 37 (2016), SI3, S. 33-59 | Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging
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Risks in Global Natural Gas Markets: Investment, Hedging and Trade

Recent supply security concerns in Europe have revived interest into the natural gas market. We investigate infrastructure investment and trade in an imperfect market structure for various possible risks for both supply and demand. We focus on three possible scenarios in a stochastic global gas market model: (i) transit of Russian gas via Ukraine that may be disrupted from 2020 on; (ii) natural gas ...

In: Energy Policy 94 (2016), S. 468-479 | Ruud Egging, Franziska Holz
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Lifting the US Crude Oil Export Ban: A Numerical Partial Equilibrium Analysis

The upheaval in global crude oil markets and the boom in shale oil production in North America brought scrutiny on the US export ban for crude oil from 1975. The ban was eventually lifted in early 2016. This paper examines the shifts of global trade flows and strategic refinery investments in a spatial, game-theoretic partial equilibrium model. We consider detailed oil supply chain infrastructure with ...

In: Energy Policy 97 (2016), S. 258-266 | Lissy Langer, Daniel Huppmann, Franziska Holz
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A Global Perspective on the Future of Natural Gas: Resources, Trade, and Climate Constraints

Natural gas plays an important role in the global energy system as an input to power generation, heating, and industry. This article identifies key drivers and uncertainties for natural gas markets in the coming decades. These include the availability of natural gas from conventional and unconventional sources, the role of international trade, and the impact of climate policies. We build on model-based ...

In: Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 9 (2015), Iss. 1, 85-106 | Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging
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All Quiet on the Eastern Front? Disruption Scenarios of Russian Natural Gas Supply to Europe

The 2014 Russian–Ukrainian crisis reignited European concerns about natural gas supply security recalling the experiences of 2006 and 2009. However, the European supply situation, regulation and infrastructure have changed, with better diversified import sources, EU member states being better connected and a common regulation on the security of supply has been introduced. Nevertheless, European dependency ...

In: Energy Policy 80 (2015), S. 177-189 | Philipp M. Richter, Franziska Holz
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Crude Oil Market Power: A Shift in Recent Years?

We investigate the exertion of market power in the global crude oil market over the past years. Recognizing the difficulty of identifying market power in the crude oil market by empirical studies, we propose a numerical partial equilibrium model formulated as a mixed complementarity problem. Our approach allows for strategic behavior in a Nash-Cournot market, a Stackelberg leader-follower game, an ...

In: The Energy Journal 33 (2012), 4, S. 1-22 | Daniel Huppmann, Franziska Holz
104 Ergebnisse, ab 71