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DIW Weekly Report 47/48 / 2022
2022| Dawud Ansari, Wassim Brahim, Franziska Holz, Claudia Kemfert
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DIW Weekly Report 46/47/48 / 2020
The coronavirus pandemic has affected the Gulf countries in a particular way. In addition to the direct consequences of the pandemic, the spread of the coronavirus has led to a collapse in demand for the Gulf countries’ most important source of revenue: oil. Its price, which had fallen initially due to the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia, collapsed in spring 2020. Although it recovered somewhat ...
2020| Dawud Ansari, Hella Engerer
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DIW Weekly Report 50/51/52 / 2018
The global expansion weakened somewhat in the third quarter while the downside risks have increased. DIW Berlin’s forecast— almost unchanged—indicates an expansion in global economic production of 4.3 percent for 2018 and 3.9 percent for 2019. In 2020, momentum will slow down further to 3.6 percent. In some countries, temporary factors contributed to the economic slowdown. In major advanced economies, ...
2018| Claus Michelsen, Dawud Ansari, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth, Aleksandar Zaklan
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DIW Economic Bulletin 51/52 / 2017
In this study, we report on the current state of the international market for crude oil. The market data we analyzed indicate that competition has intensified as a result of the now firmly-established shale oil extraction industry in the U.S. Model-based simulations also show that supply-side shifts should only have moderate price effects. This applies to both an expansion in U.S. shale oil production ...
2017| Aleksandar Zaklan, Dawud Ansari, Claudia Kemfert
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DIW Economic Bulletin 50 / 2017
2017| Ferdinand Fichtner, Dawud Ansari, Guido Baldi, Karl Brenke, Martin Bruns, Marius Clemens, Kristina van Deuverden, Christian Dreger, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Stefan Gebauer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak, Aleksandar Zaklan
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DIW aktuell ; 36 / 2020
Der Erdölpreis befindet sich im freien Fall: Nachdem sich der Markt seit 2016 zunehmend stabilisiert hatte, brach der Preis im ersten Quartal 2020 um etwa 70 Prozent ein. Für diesen Rückgang hat einerseits die Corona-Krise gesorgt, anderseits aber auch der Preiskrieg zwischen Saudi-Arabien und Russland. Verhandlungen zwischen der von Saudi-Arabien dominierten Organisation erdölexportierender Länder ...
2020| Dawud Ansari, Claudia Kemfert
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Diskussionspapiere 1959 / 2021
Since 2015, Saudi Arabia has led a foreign military intervention against the Houthi movement, which took over major parts of Yemen. The intervention, which manifests mainly in airstrikes, has attracted widespread controversy in media and politics as well as a large body of (qualitative) academic literature discussing its background and ways to escape it. Complementary to these efforts and connecting ...
2021| Dawud Ansari, Mariza Montes de Oca Leon, Helen Schlüter
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Diskussionspapiere 1945 / 2021
Climate change and biodiversity loss trigger policies worldwide, many of which target or impact local communities. Although research, international development, and policy implementation (and, thus, success in fighting both threats) require thoughtful consideration and communication of the underlying concepts, field work encounters a cascade of tangible barriers. Technoscientific representations of ...
2021| Dawud Ansari, Regine Schönenberg, Melissa Abud, Laura Becerra, Anne Cristina de la Vega-Leinert, Nigel Dudley, Michael Dunlop, Carolina Figueroa, Oscar Guevara, Philipp Hauser, Hannes Hobbie, Mostafa A. R. Hossain, Jean Hugé, Luc Janssens de Bisthoven, Hilde Keunen, Claudia Munera-Roldan, Jan Petzold, Anne-Julie Rochette, Matthew Schmidt, Charlotte Schumann, Sayanti Sengupta, Susanne Stoll-Kleemann, Lorrae van Kerkhoff, Maarten P. M. Vanhove, Carina Wyborn
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Diskussionspapiere 1837 / 2019
We compare prominent global energy scenarios of organisations and companies. We supplement the analysis with four own scenarios, which were derived from structured analytic techniques in combination with a numerical global energy and resource market model (Multimod). Our study provides three central contributions: (i) a compact survey of selected outlooks with meta characteristics (conceptual nature, ...
2019| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hashem al-Kuhlani
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Diskussionspapiere 1782 / 2019
Existing long-term energy and climate scenarios are typically a rather simple extrapolation of past trends. Both qualitative and quantitative outlooks co-exist, but they often focus narrowly on individual perspectives, which is opposed to the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. Therefore, this study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary narratives that give insight into four ...
2019| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hasan Basri Tosun