This paper shows the impact of demographic change on the demand for and supply of health care workforce in five countries until 2025: Denmark, Germany, Italy, Poland and Slovakia. The demographic change in all these countries is characterized by two developments (a) an ageing of the population forced by the shift of the baby-boomer to higher ages and the further increase in life expectancy, (b)...
Erika Schulz, Flavia Coda Moscarola, Stanislawa Golinowska, Marek Radvansky, Johannes Geyer
Bonn,
09.04.2014
- 11.04.2014| Employment 2025 - How Will Multiple Transitions Affect the European Labor Market?: 2nd NEUJOBS Validation Event
Johannes Geyer
Berlin,
20.02.2014
| Mehr Gleichstellung für Wachstum und Beschäftigung: Diskussion im Rahmen des Europäischen Semesters für wirtschaftspolitische Koordinierung
Johannes Geyer
Berlin,
06.03.2013
- 08.03.2013| Soziale Ungleichheit und demografischer Wandel: Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Demographie 2013
Katharina Wrohlich, Johannes Geyer, Peter Haan
Göttingen,
09.09.2012
- 12.09.2012| Neue Wege und Herausforderungen für den Arbeitsmarkt des 21. Jahrhunderts: Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2012
This paper extends the idea of using ex-ante risk measures in a model of precautionary savings by explicitly simulating future net-income risks. The uncertainty measure takes into account the interdependency of labour market status and health. The model is estimated for prime age males using the German Socio-Economic Panel Study for years 2001-2007. The empirical analysis is conducted using a...
Johannes Geyer
Malaga, Spanien,
27.08.2012
- 31.08.2012| 27th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association: EEA 2012
In this paper we estimate an intertemporal structural model of labor supply for mothers with young children. In order to validate the structural model, we make use of a recently introduced parental leave reform in Germany. We compare the behavioral predictions of the structural model under the reform (out-of-sample fit) to results based on an evaluation where we exploit the parental leave reform...
Johannes Geyer, Peter Haan, Katharina Wrohlich
Dublin, Irland,
17.05.2012
- 19.05.2012| IZA Workshop Recent Advances in Labor Supply Modeling
Johannes Geyer
Berlin,
14.03.2012
- 16.03.2012| Wiederanstieg oder Stagnation der Geburtenraten? Spielräume der Fertilitätsentwicklung und Wandel der Familie: Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Demographie 2012
Johannes Geyer
Berlin,
28.02.2012
| Social Security for Persons with Reduced Earnings Capacity - Comparing Germany and Poland: Workshop of the DIW Berlin
Johannes Geyer
Warschau, Polen,
29.10.2010
| Poland and Germany: Two Approaches to Reforming the Pension System: Conference of Warsaw University, Faculty of Economics Sciences, and Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
We analyze the impact of changing employment patterns and pension reforms on the future level of public pensions across birth cohorts in Germany. The analysis is based on a rich dataset that combines household survey data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) and process-produced microdata from the German pension insurance. A microsimulation model is developed which accounts for cohort...
Johannes Geyer, Viktor Steiner
Warschau, Polen,
29.10.2010
| Poland and Germany: Two Approaches to Reforming the Pension System: Conference of Warsaw University, Faculty of Economics Sciences, and Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
We analyze the impact of changing employment patterns and pension reforms on the future level of public pensions across birth cohorts in Germany. The analysis is based on a microsimulation model which accounts for cohort effects in individual employment and unemployment and earnings over the lifecycle as well as the differential impact of recent pension reforms on birth cohorts. Cohort effects...
Johannes Geyer, Viktor Steiner
Kiel,
07.09.2010
- 10.09.2010| Ökonomie der Familie: Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010
Studies on precautionary savings (PS) have shown a variety of results which range from high shares of PS in total wealth to little or no PS at all. The plurality of results is probably caused by the many conceptual choices and problems that accompany this analysis. An important problem is to find a reliable measure of permanent income and future economic risks that corresponds to those perceived...
Johannes Geyer
Warschau, Polen,
02.07.2010
- 04.07.2010| Warsaw International Economic Meeting: WIEM
Johannes Geyer, Viktor Steiner
Halle a. d. Saale,
29.10.2009
- 30.10.2009| 20 Jahre Arbeitsmarkt Ostdeutschland - Erfahrungen und Perspektiven: Gemeinsamer Workshop des Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) und des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung Nürnberg (IAB)