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428 Ergebnisse, ab 421
Diskussionspapiere 1304 / 2013

On the International Spillovers of US Quantitative Easing

The paper analyses the global spillovers of the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy measures. First, we find that Fed measures in the early phase of the crisis (QE1), but not since 2010 (QE2), were highly effective in lowering sovereign yields and raising equity markets in the US and globally across 65 countries. Yet Fed policies functioned in a procyclical manner for capital flows to ...

2013| Marcel Fratzscher, Marco Lo Duca, Roland Straub
Externe referierte Aufsätze

The Global Dimension of Inflation: Evidence from Factor-Augmented Phillips Curve

We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a Phillips curve framework. We decompose output gaps and changes in unit labour costs into common (or global) and idiosyncratic components using a factor analysis and introduce these components separately in the regression. We find that the common component of changes in unit labour costs has a notable impact ...

In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 75 (2013), 1, S. 103-122 | Sandra Eickmeier, Katharina Pijnenburg
Diskussionspapiere 1199 / 2012

Effects of Global Liquidity on Commodity and Food Prices

This paper investigates the relationship between global liquidity and commodity and food prices applying a global cointegrated vector-autoregressive model. We use different measures of global liquidity and various indices of commodity and food prices for the period 1980-2011. Our results support the hypothesis that there is a positive long-run relation between global liquidity and the development of ...

2012| Ansgar Belke, Ingo G. Bordon, Ulrich Volz
Diskussionspapiere 1255 / 2012

Persistence and Cycles in the US Federal Funds Rate

This paper uses long-range dependence techniques to analyse two important features of the US Federal Funds effective rate, namely its persistence and cyclical behaviour. It examines annual, monthly, bi-weekly and weekly data, from 1954 until 2010. Two models are considered. One is based on an I(d) specification with AR(2) disturbances and the other on two fractional differencing structures, one at ...

2012| Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis A. Gil-Alana
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Sovereign Risk Premiums in the European Government Bond Market

This paper provides a study of bond yield differentials among EU government bonds on the basis of a unique data set of issue spreads in the US and DM (Euro) bond market between 1993 and 2009. Interest differentials between bonds issued by EU countries and Germany or the USA contain risk premiums which increase with fiscal imbalances and depend negatively on the issuer's relative bond market size. The ...

In: Journal of International Money and Finance 31 (2012), 5, S. 975-995 | Kerstin Bernoth, Jürgen von Hagen, Ludger Schuknecht
Diskussionspapiere 1221 / 2012

Monetary Commitment and Structural Reforms: A Dynamic Panel Analysis for Transition Economies

This paper examines the contemporaneous relationship between the exchange rate regime and structural economic reforms for a sample of CEEC/CIS transition countries. We investigate empirically whether structural reforms are complements or substitutes for monetary commitment in the attempt to improve macroeconomic performance. Both EBRD and EFW data suggest a negative relationship between flexible exchange ...

2012| Ansgar Belke, Lukas Vogel
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads: A Time-Varying Coefficient Approach

We study the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads across 10 EMU countries between Q1/1999 and Q1/2010. We apply a semiparametric time-varying coefficient model to identify, to what extent an observed change in the yield spread is due to a shift in macroeconomic fundamentals or due to altering risk pricing. We find that at the beginning of EMU, the government debt level and the general investors' ...

In: Journal of International Money and Finance 31 (2012), 3, S. 639-656 | Burcu Erdogan, Kerstin Bernoth
428 Ergebnisse, ab 421
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