Thema Geldpolitik

The Transmission of Oil and Food Prices to Consumer Prices: Evidence for the MENA Countries

This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While global prices are weakly exogenous, consumer prices respond to deviations from the equilibrium relationship. ...

Target-Salden - ein Anker der Stabilität

Die Debatte über Target 2 - das Zahlungsverkehrssystem des Europäischen Systems der Zentralbanken - hat in den vergangenen Jahren zu kontroversen Diskussionen in Deutschland geführt. Die vorliegende Studie des DIW Berlin kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass die in diesem Zusammenhang vielfach geäußerten Ängste vor den Risiken für Deutschland größtenteils unbegründet sind. Demzufolge ist Deutschland nicht - ...

Liquiditätsmanagement des Eurosystems im Zeichen der Krise

Im Zahlungssystem der Eurozone, Target 2, sind seit 2007 hohe Verbindlichkeiten der Krisenländer gegenüber den übrigen Mitgliedern der Währungsunion aufgelaufen. Auf dem Höhepunkt dieser Entwicklung Mitte 2012 hatte allein die Deutsche Bundesbank Target-Forderungen in Höhe von 750 Milliarden Euro. Mittlerweile ist dieser Posten auf 570 Milliarden Euro zurückgegangen; er ist damit aber immer noch deutlich ...

Ausgleich der Target-Salden erst nach Ende der Euro-Krise: Sieben Fragen an Claudia Lambert und Philipp König

Nachhaltige europäische Konsolidierungspolitik - Chancen und Herausforderungen: Editorial

Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area: Does Catching up Explain the Development?

In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries received inreasing attention since the outbreak of the financial crisis. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency and are part of the excessive imbalances procedure. This paper explores the determinants of the imbalances ...

The Global Dimension of Inflation: Evidence from Factor-Augmented Phillips Curve

We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a Phillips curve framework. We decompose output gaps and changes in unit labour costs into common (or global) and idiosyncratic components using a factor analysis and introduce these components separately in the regression. We find that the common component of changes in unit labour costs has a notable impact ...

The PPP Hypothesis Revisited: Evidence Using a Multivariate Long-Memory Model

This paper examines the PPP hypothesis analysing the behaviour of the real exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar for four major currencies (namely, the Canadian dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound). An innovative approach based on fractional integration in a multivariate context is applied to annual data from 1970 to 2011. Long memory is found to characterise the Canadian dollar, ...

On the International Spillovers of US Quantitative Easing

The paper analyses the global spillovers of the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policy measures. First, we find that Fed measures in the early phase of the crisis (QE1), but not since 2010 (QE2), were highly effective in lowering sovereign yields and raising equity markets in the US and globally across 65 countries. Yet Fed policies functioned in a procyclical manner for capital flows to ...

Basil J. Moore's Horizontalists and Verticalists: An Appraisal 25 Years Later

In 1988 Basil Moore published his book Horizontalists and Verticalists: The Macroeconomics of Credit Money, which this year celebrates its 25th birthday. We discuss this book from today's perspective, and in particular whether Moore's main assertions have been validated or rejected by the development of central bank practice and academic monetary economics. We find that the book has impressively stood ...