Direkt zum Inhalt

Is There an Information Channel of Monetary Policy?

Discussion Papers 2084, 21 S.

Oliver Holtemöller, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Boreum Kwak

2024

get_appDownload (PDF  507 KB)

Abstract

Exploiting the heteroscedasticity of the changes in short-term and long-term interest rates and exchange rates around the FOMC announcement, we identify three structural monetary policy shocks. We eliminate the predictable part of the shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables. The first shock resembles a conventional monetary policy shock, and the second resembles an unconventional monetary shock. The third shock leads to an increase in interest rates, stock prices, industrial production, consumer prices, and commodity prices. At the same time, the excess bond premium and uncertainty decrease, and the U.S. dollar depreciates. Therefore, this third shock combines all the characteristics of a central bank information shock.

Alexander Kriwoluzky

Head of Department in the Macroeconomics Department

Topics: Monetary policy



JEL-Classification: C36;E52;E58
Keywords: Monetary policy, central bank information shock, identification through heteroskedasticity, high-frequency identification, proxy SVAR

keyboard_arrow_up