BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:https://www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c.806339.de/veranstaltungen.html
METHOD:PUBLISH
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:diw_01.c.870506.en
LOCATION:Karl Popper Room,DIW Berlin,2.3.020,Anton-Wilhelm-Amo-Strasse 58,10117 Berlin
SUMMARY:Terrorism and Voting: The Rise of Right-Wing Populism in Germany
DESCRIPTION:12:30-13:30 // -- joint with Marius Liebald and Guido Friebel  Can right-wing terrorism increase support for far-right populist parties, and if so, why? Exploiting quasi-random variation between successful and failed attacks across German municipalities, we find that successful attacks lead to significant increases in the vote share for the right-wing, populist Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party. Our results are predominantly observable in state (Bundesland) elections, though attacks that receive high media coverage significantly increase the AfD vote share in Federal elections. These patterns hold even though most attacks are motivated by right-wing causes and target migrants. Investigating channels, we find that successful attacks lead to differential increases in turnout, which the AfD mainly captures. Using the German SOEP, a longitudinal panel of individuals, we investigate terror’s impact on political attitudes. We find that successful terror leads individuals to prefer the AfD, worry more about migration, and report significantly greater political participation at the local level. Successful terror also leads voters to migrate away from (some) mainstream parties to the AfD. Exploiting news reports, we find that successful attacks receive more media coverage from local and regional publishers and that this coverage focuses on issues related to Islam and terror. This suggests that media make successful terror salient to voters.
DTSTART:20230503T103000Z
DTEND:20230503T113000Z
DTSTAMP:20230417T220000Z
URL:https://www.diw.de/en/diw_01.c.870506.en/events/terrorism_and_voting__the_rise_of_right-wing_populism_in_germany.html
ORGANIZER;CN=Viola Hilbert:mailto:vhilbert@diw.de
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR