DIW Economic Outlook

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40 results, from 21
  • Press Release

    Despite political uncertainty, German economy continues to expand – even as employment growth slows down

    German economy’s growth rate will drop next year, primarily due to calendar effects – labor market expansion losing some momentum – numerous risks for the global economy According to a new forecast by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), the German economy’s upward trend will continue through 2017 and 2018 – even though the current global economy is ...

    20.12.2016
  • Press Release

    Joint economic forecast: German economy on track – economic policy needs to be realigned

    Thanks to a stable job market and solid consumption, the German economy is experiencing a moderate upswing. The GDP is expected to increase by 1.9 percent this year, 1.4 percent in 2017, and 1.6 percent in 2018, according to the Gemeinschaftsdiagnose (GD, joint economic forecast) that was prepared by five of Europe’s leading economic research institutes on behalf of the Federal Government. The ...

    29.09.2016
  • Press Release

    German economy temporarily losing momentum

    DIW Berlin short-term economic forecast: German GDP will increase by 1.9 percent in 2016, 1.0 percent in 2017, and 1.6 percent in 2018 – Brexit decision temporarily hindering growth – unemployment continues to fall, but wage increases are also slowing down – public budgets will end all three years with surpluses According to the latest economic forecast from the German Institute ...

    13.09.2016
  • Press Release

    German economy experiencing stable growth – but a Brexit could create problems

    DIW Berlin forecast: GDP is expected to increase by 1.7 percent this year and 1.4 percent next year – consumer spending still a growth driver, but expanding with less momentum than before – global economy failing to gain traction – Brexit would significantly hinder growth According to the German Institute for Economic Research’s new summer forecast, the German economy—backed ...

    17.06.2016
  • Press Release

    German economy back on track, despite some rough waters

    DIW Berlin’s forecast: GDP to rise by 1.6 percent in 2016 – robust labor market, wage increases, and refugee expenditure fueling consumption – investment and global economy inhibiting growth According to the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), the German economy is expected to grow by 1.6 percent this year, despite a gloomy global economy. This prognosis is similar ...

    16.03.2016
  • Press Release

    Domestic demand driving German economy

    DIW Berlin’s economic forecast: GDP growth will remain stable over the next two years – domestic economy benefiting from favorable labor market situation and expenditure on asylum seekers – public sector has surpluses, but margins are tightening The German economy is expected to continue in its upward growth over the next two years: According to the latest economic forecasts from ...

    17.12.2015
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast Autumn 2015: German economy stable but needs effective policies to nurture growth

    The German economy is experiencing a moderate upturn. Gross domestic product will increase by 1.8 percent in 2015 and in 2016 respectively. Growth will be driven by private consumption. In view of the world economy’s modest growth, exports are only expected to rise slightly, especially as the stimulating effect of the euro’s depreciation gradually starts to fade. There will be a more rapid ...

    08.10.2015
  • Press Release

    Upswing of German Economy Prevails, Bolstered by Strong Domestic Demand

    GDP is set to grow by 1.8 percent this year and 1.9 percent next year – the global economy is slowly picking up steam, and the euro area is showing solid growth performance – possible risks such as Greece leaving the euro area are creating a strain on the economy The German economy is continuing on an upward trend but, due to unexpectedly weak growth at the beginning of the year, will ...

    25.06.2015
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2015: A Strong Upswing Thanks to Cheap Oil and a Weak Euro

    The German economy is experiencing a strong upturn driven by unexpected expansive impulses, especially the falling oil price and the sharp depreciation of the euro. Gross domestic product is expected to increase by 2.1 percent this year. The 68 percent projection interval ranges from 1.1 percent to 2.8 percent. Consumption is the driving force behind the upturn. The rest of the euro area is also expected ...

    16.04.2015
  • Press Release

    The German economy is growing strongly — no signs of overheating

    DIW economic experts are forecasting a growth of 2.2 percent in 2015, which should stand at 1.9 percent in 2016 - capacity utilization at nearly normal levels - foreign markets less important than before the crisis - primary growth driver is private consumption based on a good labor market - surpluses in public budgets remain high - international risks remain significant The German economy, which ...

    19.03.2015
  • Press Release

    German Economy to Overcome Temporary Weakness

    The German economy has veered back on an upward course, after weak growth in the summer semester 2014. In this projection, real GDP is estimated to grow by 1.5 percent in 2014, by 1.4 percent in 2015 and by 1.7 percent in 2016. Inflation is projected to remain low, with 0.9 percent in 2014, 0.7 percent in 2015 and 1.4 percent in 2016. The growth rate of the global economy rose slightly in the third ...

    17.12.2014
  • Press Release

    German Economy Stagnating - Now Is The Time To Strengthen Growth

    The German economy will grow by 1.3 percent this year and by 1.2 percent in 2015, predict the economic research institutes involved in the Joint Economic Forecast in their autumn report. According to the report, Germany’s economy has cooled down markedly. With economic output falling in the second quarter and stagnating in the third quarter of 2014, the engine for economic growth is proving hard ...

    09.10.2014
  • Press Release

    Pace of Expansion Remains Slow

    The German economy will grow by 1.5 percent this year. In the coming year, the increase in GDP will be somewhat higher at 1.8 percent. The jobless rate will be 6.7 percent this year but it will rise by three-tenths of a percentage point in the coming year. Inflation will remain moderate in both years; prices will rise by 1.0 percent this year and 1.5 percent in 2015. Global economic growth was far ...

    17.09.2014
  • Press Release

    The Upturn Continues

    The German economy is expected to grow by 1.8 percent in 2014, keeping that pace in 2015, at a rate of two percent. GDP is expected to grow during the forecast period at rates only slightly above the trend; the slight under-utilization will therefore decrease correspondingly slowly. Inflation remains weak. Global economic growth was weaker at the start of the year. In both the industrialized and emerging ...

    17.06.2014
  • Press Release

    A Modest Expansion Course

    In 2014, the German economy is expected to grow by 1.8 %. Next year, GDP will increase by 2.1 %. The output gap will decline significantly this year, but will only be fully closed in the coming year. Inflation will remain low in this environment. The upward momentum of the global economy weakened slightly in the final quarter of 2013. However, developed countries were almost able to maintain their ...

    12.03.2014
  • Press Release

    Recovery is Gaining Some Momentum

    In 2013 the German economy will grow at 0.4 percent which is below the growth rate of potential output. The output gap is 0.5 percent. In 2014 gross domestic product will expand at 1,6 percent and the output gap will nearly be closed. In 2015 the economy will grow above trend at a rate of 2 percent. The pace of expansion of the world economy has accelerated in the third quarter. Advanced economies ...

    18.12.2013
  • Press Release

    Autumn 2013 Joint Economic Forecast: Economy Picking Up - Put Budget Surpluses To Good Use

    Project Group Joint Economic Forecast Completed in Essen on 15 October 2013 Economy Picking Up – Put Budget Surpluses To Good Use The German economy is on the verge of an upturn driven by domestic demand. The improving global economic climate and decreasing uncertainty are fuelling investment. Private consumption is benefitting from favourable employment and income prospects. Real gross domestic ...

    17.10.2013
  • Press Release

    DIW Winter Projection 2013

    The German economy has recently lost momentum but is anticipated to accelerate markedly in the course of 2013. On annual average, real GDP will increase by 0.9 percent; the corresponding figure for 2012 is expected to be 0.8 percent. During the course of 2013, however, expansion will accelerate noticeably. The German economy will grow slightly over two percent in 2014. The temporary economic weakness ...

    09.01.2013
  • Press Release

    DIW Autumn Projection 2012

    The German economy will lose some of its momentum in the second half of the year, but pick up some speed again next year. In year-on-year terms, German GDP is expected to increase by a mere 0.9 percent in 2012 and 1.6 percent in 2013. Growth is primarily driven by domestic demand. The weakening of the economy in the second half of this year will have limited impact on labor markets, the unemployment ...

    04.10.2012
  • Press Release

    Deutsches Wirtschaftswachstum eingebrochen:Nur noch 1,0 % in diesem Jahr.DIW Berlin stellt Sommer-Grundlinien 2001/2002 vor

    The German GDP will only grow by 1% this year. A noticeably economic recovery and an economic growth of 2,3% can not be expected until next year. This conclusion is reached by the DIW Berlin in its summer-baselines on the economic development 2001/2002. The eurozone, too, is expected to show a slower economic expansion this year; the GDP will only increase by 1,9%. An economic recovery is not expected ...

    10.07.2001
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