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DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Industry Sputtering Globally while the German Economy Stagnates

The German economy continues to stagnate. After it appeared to finally be growing at the start of 2024, it experienced a slight setback in the second quarter. Although incomes are rising and inflation is now near the two-percent target, people in Germany are saving their money. As investments and exports faltered due to the sluggish industrial sector, the upturn has been delayed for the time being. ...

DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Recovering Swiftly; German Economy Gaining Momentum

The German economy began recovering at the beginning of 2024 and has developed better than initially expected. A sharp rise in construction investment, albeit more of a flash in the pan as a result of mild winter weather, along with strong goods exports helped the economy onto its recov¬ery path and masked the disappointing development of private consumption, which sank unexpectedly. However, consumer ...

DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Experiencing Robust Growth; Germany’s Recovery Is Delayed Further

The German economy will likely contract in the first quarter of 2024 due to still heightened inflation and weak demand, which was already weighing on German economic output in 2023. Inflation, which is falling in both Germany and the euro area overall, is expected to return close to the European Central Bank's two-percent target, suggesting that a turnaround in interest rates can be expected in early ...

DIW Berlin Economic Forecast: Forecast Ranges from Cloudy to Bright

The recovery of the German economy is becoming an exercise in patience. In the third quarter of 2023 the economy fared worse than expected, in particular because private households continued to spend their money conservatively despite climbing wages and falling inflation. Both private consumption and overall economic output even declined slightly. Now the next challenge has arrived: In November 2023, ...

German Economy Currently Scarcely Making Headway

Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private consumption is not driving the German economy and is likely to develop in the second half of 2023 only haltingly. ...

DIW Economic Outlook: German Economy Fighting Its Way out of Winter Recession

The German economy has returned to a recovery course following a slight recession over the winter. Although the war in Ukraine, record inflation, and feared gas shortages have taken their toll on the German economy, a drastic slump failed to materialize. The German economy remained relatively unscathed, only experiencing a slight recession over the past six months; in the final quarter of 2022 and ...

Mehr Migration könnte Potenzialwachstum der deutschen Wirtschaft deutlich erhöhen

Die deutsche Wirtschaft steht aufgrund des demografischen Wandels und des Ausscheidens der Babyboomer-Generation aus dem Arbeitsmarkt vor einem zunehmenden Arbeits- und Fachkräftemangel. Dieser wird das Produktionspotenzial der deutschen Wirtschaft erheblich einschränken. Das inländische Steigerungspotenzial zur Deckung des Arbeitskräftebedarfs ist nur gering, so dass der Migration eine zentrale Rolle ...

Deutsche Wirtschaft im Umbruch - Konjunktur und Wachstum schwach: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2024 ; Dienstleistungsauftrag des Bundesministeriums für WIrtschaft und Klimaschutz

Deutsche Wirtschaft kränkelt – Reform der Schuldenbremse kein Allheilmittel: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2024 ; Dienstleistungsauftrag des Bundesministeriums für WIrtschaft und Klimaschutz

Euro Area Inflation Differentials: The Role of Fiscal Policies Revisited