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892 results, from 571
  • Diskussionspapiere 1458 / 2015

    The Weekend Effect: An Exploitable Anomaly in the Ukrainian Stock Market?

    This paper provides some new empirical evidence on the weekend effect (one of the best known anomalies in financial markets) in Ukrainian futures prices. The analysis uses various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student's t-test, dummy variables, and fractional integration) to test for the presence of this anomaly, and then a trading simulation approach to establish whether it can be exploited ...

    2015| Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis Gil-Alana, Alex Plastun
  • Diskussionspapiere 1456 / 2015

    Power Market Design beyond 2020: Time to Revisit Key Elements?

    We revisit key elements of European power market design with respect to both short term operation and longer-term investment and re-investment choices. For short term markets, the European policy debate focuses on the definition of common interfaces, like for example gate closure time. We argue that that this is insufficient if the market design is to accommodate for the different needs of renewable ...

    2015| Karsten Neuhoff, Sophia Rüster, Sebastian Schwenen
  • DIW Roundup 55 / 2015

    Bubbles and Monetary Policy: To Burst or Not to Burst?

    The question of whether monetary policy should target asset prices remains a contentious issue. Prior to the 2007/08 financial crisis, central banks opted for a wait-and-see approach, remaining passive during the build-up of asset price bubbles but actively seeking to stabilize prices and output after they burst. The macroeconomic and financial turbulence that followed the subprime housing bubble has ...

    2015| Philipp König, David Pothier
  • Diskussionspapiere 1448 / 2015

    Monetary Policy, Bank Bailouts and the Sovereign-Bank Risk Nexus in the Euro Area

    The paper analyses the empirical relationship between bank risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area. Using structural VAR with daily financial markets data for 2003-13, the analysis confirms two-way causality between shocks to sovereign risk and bank risk, with the former being overall more important in explaining bank risk, than vice versa. The paper focuses specifically on the impact of non-standard ...

    2015| Marcel Fratzscher, Malte Rieth
  • Externe Monographien

    Capital Flow Management Measures: What Are They Good For?

    Are capital controls and macroprudential measures related to international exposures successful in achieving their objectives? Assessing their effectiveness is complicated by selection bias; countries which change their capital-flow management measures (CFMs) often share specific characteristics and are responding to changes in variables that the CFMs are intended to influence. This paper addresses ...

    Cambridge, Mass.: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2015, 55 S.
    (NBER Working Paper Series ; 20860)
    | Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Roland Straub
  • Externe Monographien

    Monetary Policy, Bank Bailouts and the Sovereign-Bank Risk Nexus in the Euro Area

    The paper analyses the empirical relationship between bank risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area. Using structural VAR with daily financial markets data for 2003-13, the analysis confirms two-way causality between shocks to sovereign risk and bank risk, with the former being overall more important in explaining bank risk, than vice versa. The paper focuses specifically on the impact of non-standard ...

    London: CEPR, 2015, 49 S.
    (Discussion Paper Series / Centre for Economic Policy Research ; 10370)
    | Marcel Fratzscher, Malte Rieth
  • Weitere externe Aufsätze

    Fiscal Risk Sharing and Stabilization in the EMU

    In: George Christodoulakis (Ed.) , Managing Risks in the European Periphery Debt Crisis : Lessons from the Trade-off between Economics, Politics and the Financial Markets
    London: MacMillan
    S. 148-162
    | Kerstin Bernoth, Philipp Engler
  • DIW Economic Bulletin 4 / 2015

    Financial Sector: Share of Women in Top Decision-Making Bodies Remains Low

    At the end of 2014, women were no better represented on the top decision-making bodies of enterprises in the financial sector than the previous year. The share of women on the executive boards of the 100 largest banks and savings banks remained at an average of almost seven percent and on the executive boards of the 60 largest insurance companies at 8.5 percent. On supervisory boards, change was slow ...

    2015| Elke Holst, Anja Kirsch
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence

    We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross-section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years, alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these chronologies as dependent processes and a set of macroeconomic and financial variables as explanatory variables, ...

    In: Journal of Forecasting 33 (2014), 1, S. 15-31 | Helmut Herwartz, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • Diskussionspapiere 1436 / 2014

    Sovereign Risk, Interbank Freezes, and Aggregate Fluctuations

    This paper studies the bank-sovereign link in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium set-up with strategic default on public debt. Heterogeneous banks give rise to an interbank market where government bonds are used as collateral. A default penalty arises from a breakdown of interbank intermediation that induces a credit crunch. Government borrowing under limited commitment is costly ex ante as bank ...

    2014| Philipp Engler, Christoph Große Steffen
892 results, from 571
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