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1001 results, from 1
  • Infographic

    Economic outlook: consumer spending and growth strengthen the economy

    19.06.2024
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2024: Headwinds from Germany and abroad: institutes revise forecast significantly downwards

    According to Germany’s five leading economic research institutes, the country’s economy shows cyclical and structural weaknesses. In their spring report, they revised their GDP forecast for the current year significantly downward to 0.1 percent. In the recent fall report, the figure was still 1.3 percent. Expectations for the coming year are almost unchanged at 1.4 percent (previously 1.5 percent). ...

    27.03.2024
  • Infographic

    Economic Outlook 2024

    12.03.2024
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The EU Sustainable Finance Taxonomy and Its Contribution to Climate Neutrality

    The EU Taxonomy is the first standardised and comprehensive classification system for sustainable economic activities. It covers activities responsible for up to 80% of EU greenhouse gas emissions and may play an important role in channelling investments into low-carbon technologies by helping investors to make informed decisions. However, especially in transition sectors much depends on the stringency ...

    In: Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment 14 (2024), 1, S. 128–160 | Franziska Schütze, Jan Stede
  • Diskussionspapiere 2080 / 2024

    Bad Luck or Bad Decisions? Macroeconomic Implications of Persistent Heterogeneity in Cognitive Skills and Overconfidence

    Business cycle models often abstract from persistent household heterogeneity, despite its potentially significant implications for macroeconomic fluctuations and policy. We show empirically that the likelihood of being persistently financially constrained decreases with cognitive skills and increases with overconfidence thereon. Guided by this and other micro evidence, we add persistent heterogeneity ...

    2024| Oliver Pfäuti, Fabian Seyrich, Jonathan Zinman
  • DIW Weekly Report 24/25/26 / 2024

    DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Recovering Swiftly; German Economy Gaining Momentum

    The German economy began recovering at the beginning of 2024 and has developed better than initially expected. A sharp rise in construction investment, albeit more of a flash in the pan as a result of mild winter weather, along with strong goods exports helped the economy onto its recov¬ery path and masked the disappointing development of private consumption, which sank unexpectedly. However, consumer ...

    2024| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
  • DIW Weekly Report 13/14 / 2024

    Heat Transition: Municipalities Need Federal Support in Decommissioning Natural Gas Networks

    Large parts of the existing natural gas distribution networks must be decommissioned due to the decarbonization of the heat supply. However, there are neither regulatory nor economic incentives for the gas network operators to do so and delaying the decommissioning could be expensive for the remaining customers. This Weekly Report analyzes to what extent municipalities can partially decommission the ...

    2024| Isabell Braunger, Philipp Herpich, Franziska Holz, Julia Rechlitz, Claudia Kemfert
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Is Interest Rate Hiking a Recipe for Missing Several Goals of Monetary Policy—Beating Inflation, Preserving Financial Stability, and Keeping up Output Growth?

    levelsof all goods in the US and Europe rose surprisingly quickly and persistently. TheFED began in March 2022 and the ECB in July 2022 with historically unique interestrate increases to combat the wage-price spiral that had not yet begun. In this article weshow that energy, commodities and food were the main drivers of inflation. For this reason,central banks’ goal of weakening demand for labor through ...

    In: Eurasian Economic Review (2024), im Ersch. [online first: 2024-03-05] | Dorothea Schäfer, Willi Semmler
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Agglomeration Economies: Different Effects on TFP in High-tech and Low-tech Industries

    We study the impact of agglomeration effects on firms’ total factor productivity (TFP) for industry groups defined by technology intensity. This allows for non-uniform effects on firms depending on their technological level. We find that urban economies have the largest impact on firm productivity in high-technology industries, while they have no effectin low-technology industries. For firms in the ...

    In: Regional Studies (2024), im Ersch. [online first: 2024-04-04] | Martin Gornig, Alexander Schiersch
  • Diskussionspapiere 2074 / 2024

    Persistent US Current Account Deficit: The Role of Foreign Direct Investment

    This paper re-evaluates the US external deficit which has considerably widened over the 1990s. US safe asset provision to the rest of the world is the dominant explanation for the persistent nature of the US external deficit. We suggest that apart from the safe asset hypothesis, there is an important role for technology shocks originating in US multinational companies that have a strong foreign direct ...

    2024| Kaan Celebi, Werner Roeger, Paul J. J. Welfens
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