Topic Business Cycles

Externe referierte Aufsätze

Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects and Euro Area (Im)balances

Externe referierte Aufsätze

An Investment in the Future: Institutional Aspects of Credential Recognition of Refugees in Germany

Adding to the rich literature on the economic integration of refugees, this article extends the scope towards the role of institutions by focusing on the transfer of human capital by means of credential recognition. The 2012 Federal Act of ...

Diskussionspapiere 1841 / 2020

Is Monetary Policy Gender Neutral? Evidence from the Stock Market

We use US household survey data from 2001-2017 to investigate whether monetary policy has heterogeneous effects on women's and men's financial portfolio decisions by analyzing their equity investment. On the one hand, monetary policy significantly ..

Press Release

Joint economic forecast autumn 2019: Economy Cools Further – Industry in Recession

Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association, ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in cooperation with the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Research Project

Development of a macroeconomic forecasting model within the framework of the project "GET Uzbekistan"

The project "German Economic Team Uzbekistan" ("GET Uzbekistan") supports the Uzbek government in stabilizing economic development and shaping the necessary economic reform processes. GET Uzbekistan is part of the regional project "High Level ...

Berlin Lunchtime Meeting

Reform Priorities for Germany – an OECD Perspective

As the Germany economy has slowed sharply and is facing increasing trade uncertainty, advancing the reform agenda is key to revive economic growth and address inequality. A long-standing public investment backlog is holding back the take-up of new ...

Research Project

Short-term economic effects of a 'Brexit' on the German economy

The scientific report summarizes the state of the literature on the subject of short-term Brexit consequences and carries out quantitative simulations of the economic effects of a hard Brexit on the German economy using suitable macro-econometric ...

Research Project

Big Data in Macroeconomic Analysis: Texts as data source for the economic analysis - Potentials and possible applications

The aim of this project is to use innovative approaches and heterogeneous data sources to advance research on forecasting economic development, predicting turning points and determining economic cycles. The first work package provides a comprehensive ...

Veranstaltung

The Anglo-German Annual Lecture How unfair is GDP?

The German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and the Anglo-German Foundation cordially invite you to The Anglo-German Annual LectureHow unfair is GDP? The half-life of ...

Press Release

Germany economy defying an uncertain environment

DIW Berlin expects GDP growth of 0.9 percent for 2019 and 1.7 percent for 2020 – Overall picture remains unchanged: domestic economy is supporting growth, foreign business is subdued - Unemployment continuing to decline - Trade war poses serious risks for the German economy - Municipal finances in need of restructuring