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331 results, from 11
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast: From Pandemic to Energy Crisis: Economy and Politics under Permanent Stress

    The German economy is steering through difficult waters and faces the highest inflation rates in decades. In their spring report, the leading German economic research institutes revise their outlook for this year significantly downward. The recovery from the COVID-19 crisis is slowing down as a result of the war in Ukraine, but remains on track. The institutes expect GDP to increase by 2.7 and 3.1 ...

    13.04.2022
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast: Crisis is gradually being overcome – align actions to lower growth

    The Corona pandemic still shapes the economic situation in Germany. A complete normalisation of contact-intensive activities is not to be ex­pected in the short term. In addition, supply bottlenecks are ham­pering manufacturing for the time being. The German economy will reach nor­mal capacity utilisation in the course of 2022. In their autumn report, the leading economic research institutes ...

    14.10.2021
  • Press Release

    German economy will first pick up speed in 2022

    DIW Berlin forecasting experts are lowering their forecast for 2021 from 3.2 to 2.1 percent - Supply bottlenecks and material shortages are weighing on German industry - Private consumption remains restrained - With growth of just under five percent, the German economy will pick up speed in 2022 once bottlenecks have been overcome and infection rates have fallen on a sustained basis - Inflation no ...

    16.09.2021
  • Press Release

    Pandemic delays upswing – Demography slows growth

    In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the current year and 3.9 percent in 2022. The renewed shutdown is delaying the economic recovery, but as soon as the risks of infection, particularly from vaccination, have been averted, a strong recovery will begin. The economy is likely to return to normal output levels ...

    15.04.2021
  • DIW Weekly Report 37 / 2021

    German Economy Only Slowly Emerging from the Pandemic: DIW Economic Outlook Autumn 2021

    The German economy is taking longer than expected to overcome the pandemic: It is likely to increase by only 2.1 percent in 2021 and capacities remain markedly underutilized. In addition, global supply bottlenecks are affecting German industry, resulting in stalled domestic production despite high demand. Following a profitable summer due to low case numbers and progress in the vaccination campaign, ...

    2021| Marius Clemens, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt
  • DIW Weekly Report 23/24 / 2021

    German Economy: Uncertainty Remains despite Rebound: DIW Economic Outlook Summer 2021

    By lifting lockdown measures as coronavirus case numbers are rising and the vaccine rollout is proceeding slowly, the German economy is being sent on a stop-go course. Re-opening measures will probably be followed by renewed closures, at least regionally, in order to keep the spread of COVID-19 under control. Nevertheless, industry is robust overall, primarily due to good foreign business. In the service ...

    2021| Claus Michelsen, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast: Recovery Loses Momentum - Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic

    The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring. In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by roughly one percentage point for both this and next year. They now expect gross domestic product to fall by 5.4 percent in 2020 (previously -4.2%) and to grow ...

    14.10.2020
  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast: Economy in Shock – Fiscal Policy to Counteract

    The coronavirus pandemic is triggering a severe recession in Germany. Economic output will shrink by 4.2 percent this year. This is what the leading economics research institutes expect in their spring report. For next year, they are forecasting a recovery and growth of 5.8 percent. Gross domestic product is likely to have shrunk by 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2020 alone. In the second quarter, ...

    08.04.2020
  • Externe Monographien

    Essays on Credit, Macroprudential Regulation, and Monetary Policy

    This dissertation consists of four essays that investigate the economic consequences of frictions in credit markets and the implications for macroprudential and monetary policies. The first essay addresses the following question: How do excessive debt holdings on borrower balance sheets impede economic activity? To address this question, we estimate a non-linear panel threshold model on a large-scale ...

    Berlin: Freie Univ. Berlin, FB Wirtschaftswiss., 2020, 197, LV S. | Stefan Gebauer
  • DIW Weekly Report 50 / 2020

    German Economy: Optimistic despite Decline as 2020 Ends: DIW Economic Outlook

    The coronavirus pandemic is once again slowing down the German economy: Following a strong and unexpected economic recovery over summer 2020, which compensated for large parts of the losses from the spring, the second wave has resulted in renewed restrictions affecting both social and economic life. Therefore, the German economy is likely to shrink again in the final quarter of 2020. If the second ...

    2020| Claus Michelsen, Paul Berenberg-Gossler, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt
331 results, from 11
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