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Press Release
DIW Berlin expects GDP growth of 0.9 percent for 2019 and 1.7 percent for 2020 – Overall picture remains unchanged: domestic economy is supporting growth, foreign business is subdued - Unemployment continuing to decline - Trade war poses serious risks for the German economy - Municipal finances in need of restructuring
As of early summer 2019, the German economy is a little weaker than in 2018, ...
13.06.2019
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Press Release
Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association, ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in cooperation with the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), ...
04.04.2019
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Press Release
According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy will continue its solid growth performance in 2019 and 2020. Overall, however, the economy is cooling noticeably and production capacity utilization is returning to normal. This is primarily due to the global economy weakening; it has been strained by China’s weakening economy, trade conflicts, and political uncertainties such as Brexit. The ...
14.03.2019
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Research Project
Conceptual and technical preparation and execution of workshops on current topics in close coordination with thematically responsible staff of the BMF (up to 6 workshops per year)
Current Project| Forecasting and Economic Policy, Macroeconomics
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DIW Weekly Report 31 / 2019
Ten years after the 2008 financial crisis, in the euro area investment is still below the pre-crisis level. Public and private investment growth is so weak that capital per worker (capital intensity) has virtually remained constant. An increase in public investment activity could ultimately stimulate private investment. Estimates for the euro area show that an increase in public investment by one billion ...
2019| Marius Clemens, Marius Goerge, Claus Michelsen
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Press Release
Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), ifo Institute, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research
27.09.2018
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Press Release
According to DIW Berlin estimations, the German economy will continue on its current growth path over the next three years. This confirms the forecast from early summer that economic output will grow at a more moderate pace than previously. DIW Berlin’s forecast indicates growth of 1.8 percent for 2018, 1.7 percent for 2019, and 1.8 percent for 2020.
In contrast to the strong export performance ...
06.09.2018
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Weekly Report
Ten years after the worldwide financial and economic crisis was triggered by the American real estate market, real estate prices are rising around the globe. Concerns about a new housing bubble are growing. The present report based on OECD data for 20 countries demonstrates that this concern is not unwarranted. In eight countries, including the United Kingdom and the USA, the evolution of real estate ...
26.07.2018| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Claus Michelsen
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Press Release
According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 1.9 percent this year and 1.7 percent next year. The GDP growth forecast has thus decreased by 0.5 percentage points for this year and by 0.2 percentage points for the coming year compared to DIW Berlin’s March forecast. Essentially, this reflects the markedly increased uncertainty concerning the economic policy environment ...
15.06.2018
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Weekly Report
The political conditions for growth are currently dominated by increased uncertainty; this is particularly weighing on investment activity and slowing down the global economy. DIW Berlin is lowering its forecast slightly for this year and the next to 4.1 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. However, global expansion appears to remain intact. In developed economies, primarily the good labor market ...
15.06.2018| Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth