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333 results, from 41
  • Press Release

    Germany’s Economic Experts Raise Forecast Slightly

    Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), ifo Institute, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research

    19.04.2018
  • Press Release

    DIW Economic Barometer March 2018: economic boom continues

    The German economy is expected to have gained a good 0.7 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the final quarter of 2017. This is signaled by the Economic Barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), which rose from 113 to 118 points. It is still well above the 100-point mark, which stands for average growth.

    28.03.2018
  • Weekly Report

    New government prolongs German economic upswing: Editorial

    According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 2.4 percent this year and 1.9 percent the following year. The GDP growth forecast has thus increased by 0.2 percentage points for this year compared to December and by 0.3 percentage points for the coming year. This primarily reflects the new fiscal policy framework resulting from the coalition agreement between the three parties ...

    19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
  • Weekly Report

    New government’s policies give the thriving German economy an additional boost

    The German economy will grow by 2.4 percent this year, especially due to strong foreign demand. Brisk investment activity continues in this economic climate; stimulus from foreign trade, however, is weakening somewhat. Despite strong consumer demand in the coming quarters, employment and economic output growth are losing momentum. However, stimulus measures from the new federal government will increase ...

    19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
  • Weekly Report

    The global economy and the Euro area: expansion continues but is losing momentum

    The global economy is likely to grow by over four percent this year and somewhat less next year. DIW Berlin has slightly raised its forecast for both years. Developed economies as well as emerging markets are experiencing an upturn; however, growth rates are likely to be slightly lower in the future. One reason for the sound global economy is the fact that the labor market situation is steadily improving, ...

    19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
  • Press Release

    DIW Berlin Economic Barometer January 2018: the German economy is soaring

    The German economy continues to soar: the German Institute for Economic Research’s (DIW Berlin) Economic Barometer is at its highest reading in seven years. The index score for the first quarter landed at 118 points, an increase of almost four points compared to the last quarter of 2017. The Economic Barometer is thus well-above the 100-point mark that corresponds to the long-term average growth ...

    31.01.2018
  • Press Release

    Construction volume forecast: End of the new housing sector boom

    Construction industry continues very positive development – more room for modernization and renovation of existing buildings – construction prices rise sharply The construction sector cycle will continue its upward course in the next two years according to the forecast of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), which makes its annual prognosis of construction volume on ...

    12.01.2018
  • DIW Weekly Report 24 / 2018

    German Economy: Slowdown in Sight

    Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incomes of private households next year. However, above all, incomes are rising noticeably due to the positive situation in the labor market: the unemployment ...

    2018| Ferdinand Fichtner, Christian Breuer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Thore Schlaak
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Dynamic Impact of Macroeconomic News on Long-Term Inflation Expectations

    Well-anchored inflation expectations should not react to macroeconomic news. This paper analyzes the dynamics of inflation expectations in a proxy SVAR model, where macro news shocks are identified by their correlation with surprises from macroeconomic news announcements. Our results confirm that macro news shocks have no impact on U.S. long-term inflation expectations in the long run. In the short ...

    In: Economics Letters 165 (2018), S. 39-43 | Michael Hachula, Dieter Nautz
  • Press Release

    DIW Berlin Economic Barometer December 2017: the boom continues despite an end-of-the-year damper

    The Economic Barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) dropped by four points in December to 109 points. However, the value above 100 still indicates above-average GDP growth in the fourth quarter by slightly more than half a percent when compared to the third quarter. "Economic growth in the final quarter will be somewhat weaker than before. Nonetheless, the bulging order ...

    21.12.2017
333 results, from 41
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