Topic Business Cycles

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906 results, from 11
Diskussionspapiere 1962 / 2021

Risky Asset Holdings during Covid-19 and Their Distributional Impact: Evidence from Germany

We present evidence from a repeated survey on risky asset holdings carried out on a representative sample of the German population six times between April and June 2020. Given the size of the Covid-19 shock, we find little evidence of portfolio rebalancing in April 2020. In May, however, individual investors started buying heavily, fueling market recovery. The cross-section shows large differences ...

2021| Lukas Menkhoff, Carsten Schröder
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Investing into Third Generation Nuclear Power Plants: Review of Recent Trends and Analysis of Future Investments Using Monte Carlo Simulation

This paper provides a review of trends in third generation nuclear power plants, and analyzes current and future nuclear power plant investments using Monte Carlo simulations of economic indicators. We first review global trends of nuclear power plant investments, including technical as well as economic trends. The review suggests that cost escalations in the sector observed in previous research continue ...

In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 143 (2021), 110836, 13 S. | Ben Wealer, Simon Bauer, Christian von Hirschhausen, Claudia Kemfert, Leonard Göke
SOEPpapers 1117 / 2021

Risk Preference and Entrepreneurial Investment at the Top of the Wealth Distribution

We present first evidence how individual risk preferences shape entrepreneurial investment among the very wealthy using novel survey data from the top of the wealth distribution, which have been added to the 2019 German Socio-economic Panel Study. The data include private wealth balance sheets, in particular the value of own private business assets, and a standard measure of risk tolerance. We find that ...

2021| Frank M. Fossen, Johannes König, Carsten Schröder
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary–Fiscal Stabilization

This paper examines the role of sovereign default beliefs for macroeconomic fluctuations and stabilization policy in a small open economy where fiscal solvency is a critical problem. We set up and estimate a DSGE model on Turkish data and show that accounting for sovereign risk significantly improves the fit of the model through an endogenous amplification between default beliefs, exchange rate and ...

In: IMF Economic Review 69 (2021), 2, S. 391–426 | Markus Kirchner, Malte Rieth
Monographien

Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2020/2021

Brussels [u.a.]: EUROFRAME, 2021, 24 S.
Diskussionspapiere 1964 / 2021

Income Business Cycles

Using a wide variety of business cycle dating and filtering techniques, this paper documents the cyclical behavior of the post-tax income distribution in the US. First, all incomes are cyclical and co-move with the business cycle. Second, lower and higher income individuals experience significantly larger fluctuations across the business cycle than middle-income individuals. Third, these fluctuations ...

2021| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Sandra Pasch
Externe referierte Aufsätze

All-Pay Competition with Captive Consumers

We study a game in which two firms compete in quality to serve a market consisting of consumers with different initial consideration sets. If both firms invest below a certain threshold, they only compete for those consumers already aware of their existence. Above this threshold, a firm is visible to all and the highest investment attracts all consumers. On the one hand, the existence of initially ...

In: International Journal of Industrial Organization 75 (2021), 102709, 19 S. | Renaud Foucart, Jana Friedrichsen
Monographien

The Price of Hesitation: How the Climate Crisis Threatens Price Stability and What the ECB Must Do about It

This report presents for the first time empirical evidence of the impact of natural disasters on inflation in the eurozone, highlighting the challenges facing the ECB to achieve price stability in the era of the climate crisis. Our results show that natural disasters lead to increases in headline and core inflation, with price increases being higher for food and beverages. The effects are small but ...

Berlin: DIW Berlin, 2021, 58 S. | Yannis Dafermos, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Mauricio Vargas, Ulrich Volz, Jana Wittich
DIW Weekly Report 23/24 / 2021

German Economy with Delayed Recovery; Industry in a Tight Spot: Editorial

2021| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Marius Clemens, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt, Sandra Pasch
DIW Weekly Report 23/24 / 2021

Global Economy: Advanced Economies Facing a Strong Upturn: DIW Economic Outlook Summer 2021

Global recovery is progressing more slowly than was indicated in 2020 due to high coronavirus rates and related economic restrictions in Europe and Japan. Recently, a disparate picture has been forming: In the advanced economies, declining infection rates and continued progress in vaccination campaigns will presumably lead to a revival that will be especially noticeable in the retail and service sectors ...

2021| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Sandra Pasch
906 results, from 11
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