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Topic Monetary Policy

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537 results, from 31
  • Diskussionspapiere 2044 / 2023

    A HANK2 Model of Monetary Unions

    How does a monetary union alter the impact of business cycle shocks at the household level? We develop a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model of two countries (HANK2) and show in closed form that a monetary union shifts the adjustment to a shock horizontally—across countries—within the brackets of the union-wide wealth distribution rather than vertically—that is, across the brackets of the union-wide ...

    2023| Christian Bayer, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller, Fabian Seyrich
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Selective Bond Purchases – May the ECB Chose Winners and Losers?

    The European Central Bank (ECB) is currently facing major challenges. Fragmentation of government bond yields across Member States of the European Economic and Monetary Union, based on different economic and fiscal policies, hampers a uniform transmission of monetary policy. At the same time, climate-related financial risks need to be addressed. In recent years, the ECB is meeting these challenges ...

    In: The Economists' Voice 20 (2023), 1, S. 111-118 | Kerstin Bernoth, Sara Dietz
  • Diskussionspapiere 2037 / 2023

    The Impacts of Global Risk and US Monetary Policy on US Dollar Exchange Rates and Excess Currency Returns

    We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The exchange rate is significantly affected by US monetary policy shocks, where the persistence of this shock ...

    2023| Kerstin Bernoth, Helmut Herwartz, Lasse Trienens
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Monetary Policy, External Instruments, and Heteroskedasticity

    We develop a structural vector autoregressive framework that combines external instruments and heteroskedasticity for identification of monetary policy shocks. We show that exploiting both types of information sharpens structural inference, allows testing the relevance and exogeneity condition for instruments separately using likelihood ratio tests, and facilitates the economic interpretation of the ...

    In: Quantitative Economics 14 (2023), 1, S. 161-200 | Thore Schlaak, Malte Rieth, Maximilian Podstawski
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Multifaceted Impact of US Trade Policy on Financial Markets

    We study the multifaceted effects of trade policy shocks on financial markets using a structural vector autoregression identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously, but generally negatively. They increase market uncertainty, lower US interest rates, and lead to an appreciation of the US dollar. ...

    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics 38 (2023), 3, S. 388-406 | Lukas Boer, Lukas Menkhoff, Malte Rieth
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Foreign Exchange Intervention: A New Database

    We construct a novel database of monthly foreign exchange interventions for 49 countries over up to 22 years. We build on a text classification approach that extracts information about interventions from news articles and calibrate our procedure to data about actual interventions. This new dataset allows us to document stylized facts about the use of foreign exchange interventions for countries that ...

    In: IMF Economic Review 71 (2023), 4, S. 852–884 | Marcel Fratzscher, Tobias Heidland, Lukas Menkhoff, Lucio Sarno, Maik Schmeling
  • DIW Weekly Report 8 / 2023

    And Yet They Move: Energy Prices Fall When Key Interest Rates Increase, Despite Countervailing Effects

    Energy prices have risen sharply as a result of the coronavirus pandemic as well as the Russian attack on Ukraine in February 2022. The resulting consumer price inflation is forcing the European Central Bank (ECB) to act in accordance with its mandate. However, the ECB expresses doubts that it will be able to have an impact on the price increases. As this Weekly Report based on an analysis of structural ...

    2023| Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
  • Diskussionspapiere 2033 / 2023

    The Energy-Price Channel of (European) Monetary Policy

    This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high-frequency event study and a Structural Vector Autoregression, we find evidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are capable of doing so by affecting domestic and global energy prices. This “energy-price channel” of monetary policy plays an important ...

    2023| Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
  • Seminar of the Macro Department

    Can the ECB affect consumer energy prices?

    20.09.2022| Frederik Kurcz, Gökhan Ider
  • Seminar of the Macro Department

    Modelling US and Euro Area Monetary Policy - An Overidentified Bayesian Proxy VAR approach

    06.09.2022| Ben Schumann
537 results, from 31
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