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  • Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen

    Gender Disparities in French Academic Careers: A Multi-Stage Analysis of Selection

    This project examines the French academic pipeline to identify when and why women become underrepresented in faculty positions: I investigate whether they are less likely to apply, less likely to succeed or a combination of both. Using comprehensive administrative data combining Thèses.fr doctoral records and administrative data from the Conseil National des Universités (CNU), I analyze gender...

    11.06.2025| Aliénor Bisantis, Aix-Marseille School of Economics (AMSE)
  • Brown Bag Seminar Industrial Economics

    Public Communication and Collusion: New Screening Tools for Competition Authorities

    Competition authorities increasingly rely on economic screening tools to identify markets where firms deviate from competitive norms. Traditional screening methods assume that collusion occurs through secret agreements. However, recent research highlights that firms can use public announcements to coordinate decisions, reducing competition while avoiding detection. We propose a novel approach to...

    07.05.2025| Carl Kreuzberg
  • Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen

    Inventors‘ Personal Experience of Natural Disasters and Green Innovation

    We show that inventors' personal experiences of natural disasters lead to increased green innovation through changes in their higher-order beliefs about consumer preferences. We match patent records of French and German inventors and a survey of inventive firms to detailed information on natural disasters. This allows us to exploit exogenous variation in inventors’ exposure to natural disasters....

    16.04.2025| Marten Ritterrath, University of Cologne
  • DIW focus

    Trump’s tariffs: What escalating trade tensions with the US imply for EU exporters and supply chains

    US trade policy has taken a sharp turn away from multilateralism, with sweeping new tariffs posing a serious threat to global supply chains. As the US remains the EU’s largest export market for goods, these measures carry significant repercussions for the bloc. Exports to the US are heavily reliant on a small number of companies and high-value business relationships—making the EU particularly...

    02.04.2025| Sonali Chowdhry
  • Statement

    The next federal government needs courage and honesty

    Following yesterday's Bundestag elections, DIW President Marcel Fratzscher commented on the results and the challenges facing the new German government:

    24.02.2025| Marcel Fratzscher
  • Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen

    Breaking the Silence: The Role of Women's Shelters and Legal Infrastructure in IPV Reporting

    Does increased legal infrastructure lead to higher intimate partner violence (IPV) reporting and empower victims to leave abusive relationships? Structural barriers often prevent IPV victims from seeking help, with two-thirds of female victims in Europe neither reporting incidents to the police nor accessing support services. I study the rollout of women’s shelters and the introduction of the 2002...

    19.02.2025| Clara Schäper
  • SOEP Brown Bag Seminar

    Special Brown Bag: Moving to Opportunity, Together

    Many couples face a trade-off between advancing one spouse’s career or the other’s. We study this trade-off using administrative data from Germany and Sweden. We first conduct an event-study analysis of couples moving across commuting zones and find that relocation increases men’s earnings more than women’s, with strikingly similar patterns in Germany and Sweden. Using a sample of mass layoff...

    31.01.2025| Marie Paul, University of Duisburg-Essen
  • SOEP Brown Bag Seminar

    Levelling up by levelling down: The economic and political costs of Brexit (with Eleonora Alabrese, Thiemo Fetzer, and Shizhuo Wang)

    The study uses a synthetic control method to estimate the local economic cost of Brexit. The vast majority of regions in the UK have lost as a result of Brexit. Since losses tend to be concentrated in relatively prosperous regions, Brexit has reduced regional inequalities (“levelling up“) while pushing down national output (“levelling down“ in the aggregate). Using both aggregate data from local...

    08.01.2025| Jacob Edenhofer, University of Oxford/Nuffield College
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Home Bias, Sovereign-Bank Nexus and Bank Failure: Evidence from European Stress Tests

    This paper proposes a new way to clarify the relationship between the sovereign-bank nexus and an individual bank’s home bias by employing stress test data from Europe’s most important banks. We use the individual bank’s likelihood to fail in achieving a minimum capital ratio threshold as the dependent variable in a cross-sectional logistic regression approach and compute marginal effects. In further ...

    In: International Review of Financial Analysis 107 (2025), 104594, 23 S. | Dominik Meyland, Dorothea Schäfer
  • DIW Discussion Papers 2137 / 2025

    Dovish Coos or Hawkish Screech? From Central Bank Talk to Economic Walk

    This paper investigates the effectiveness of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) communication in shaping market expectations and real economic outcomes. Using a transformer-based large language model (LLM) fine-tuned to ECB communication, the tone of monetary policy statements from 2003 to 2025 is classified, constructing a novel ECB Communication Stance Indicator. This indicator contains forward-looking ...

    2025| Kerstin Bernoth
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