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Infographic
10.02.2023
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Research Project
The heat supply in the city of Berlin will have to be substantially reformed to reach the goal of climate neutrality by 2045 while it has to cope with high gas prices today. In the research project Open Heat BE, two open numerical models are combined to analyse the short term and long term challenges of heat supply in Berlin. At TU Berlin, the energy system model GENeSYS-MOD is used at municipal...
Current Project| Energy, Transportation, Environment
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Diskussionspapiere 2036 / 2023
Studies of the crude oil market based on structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models typically assume a time-invariant model and transmission of shocks or they consider a time-varying model and shock transmission. We assume a heteroskedastic reduced-form VAR model with time-invariant slope coefficients and test for time-varying impulse responses in a model for the global crude oil market that includes ...
2023| Martin Bruns, Helmut Lütkepohl
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Diskussionspapiere 2033 / 2023
This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high-frequency event study and a Structural Vector Autoregression, we find evidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are capable of doing so by affecting domestic and global energy prices. This “energy-price channel” of monetary policy plays an important ...
2023| Gökhan Ider, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Frederik Kurcz, Ben Schumann
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
This paper sheds new light on the role of communication for cartel formation. Using machine learning to evaluate free-form chat communication among firms in a laboratory experiment, we identify typical communication patterns for both explicit cartel formation and indirect attempts to collude tacitly. We document that firms are less likely to communicate explicitly about price fixing and more likely ...
In:
European Economic Review
152 (2023), 104331, 18 S.
| Maximilian Andres, Lisa Bruttel, Jana Friedrichsen
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
Energy system models are used for policy decisions and technology designs. If not carefully used, models give implausible outputs and mislead decision-making. One implausible effect is “unintended storage cycling”, which is observable as simultaneous storage charging and discharging. Methods to remove such misleading effects exist, but are computationally inefficient and sometimes ineffective. Through ...
In:
iScience
26 (2023), 1, 105729, 19 S.
| Maximilian Parzen, Martin Kittel, Daniel Friedrich, Aristides Kiprakis
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
We fit CES and VES production functions to data from a numerical bottom-up optimization model of electricity supply with clean and dirty inputs. This approach allows for studying high shares of clean energy not observable today and for isolating mechanisms that impact the elasticity of substitution between clean and dirty energy. Central results show that (i) dirty inputs are not essential for production. ...
In:
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists
im Ersch. (2023), [online first: 2022-08-29]
| Fabian Stöckl, Alexander Zerrahn
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
The development of energy systems is not a technocratic process but equally shaped by societal and cultural forces. Key instruments in this process are model-based scenarios describing a future energy system. Applying the concept of fictional expectations from social economics, we show how energy scenarios are tools to channel political, economic, and academic efforts into a common direction. To impact ...
In:
Energy Research & Social Science
97 (2023), 102957, 11 S.
| Leonard Göke, Jens Weibezahn, Christian von Hirschhausen
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
The supply security of fossil gas has been disrupted by the Russo-Ukrainian War. Decisions to relocate the production and transport of gas have become so urgent that new long-term contracts are imminent that undermine the Paris Climate Agreement. Here, we simulate how quickly the addition of renewable electricity and the installation of heat pumps can substitute enough gas to reduce supply risk, while ...
In:
Communications Earth & Environment
4 (2023), 56, 8 S.
| Pietro P. Altermatt, Jens Clausen, Heiko Brendel, Christian Breyer, Christoph Gerhards, Claudia Kemfert, Urban Weber, Matthew Wright
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Externe referierte Aufsätze
The transition away from a fossil-fuel powered economy towards a cleaner production system will create winners and losers in the global trade system. We compile a list of 'brown' traded products whose use is highly likely to decline if the world is to mitigate climate change, and explore which countries are most at risk of seeing their productive capabilities 'stranded'. Using methods from economic ...
In:
Environmental Research Letters
18 (2023), 4, 045004, 35 S.
| Pia Andres, Penny Mealy, Nils Handler, Samuel Fankhauser