The development of energy systems is not a technocratic process but equally shaped by societal and cultural forces. Key instruments in this process are model-based scenarios describing a future energy system. Applying the concept of fictional expectations from social economics, we show how energy scenarios are tools to channel political, economic, and academic efforts into a common direction. To impact ...
Studies of the crude oil market based on structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models typically assume a time-invariant model and transmission of shocks or they consider a time-varying model and shock transmission. We assume a heteroskedastic reduced-form VAR model with time-invariant slope coefficients and test for time-varying impulse responses in a model for the global crude oil market that includes ...
By Wolf-Peter Schill and Alexander Roth This page provides a brief overview of the current status of all indicators included in the Ampel-Monitor Energiewende. More detailed methodological explanations and data sources can be found on the homepage of the Ampel-Monitor and in the introductory DIW Weekly Report 27/2022. All underlying data are also available in the Open Energy Tracker, where they are ...
The final workshop of the project FoReSee will discuss latest research and findings on the effects of climate change and climate policy on asset stranding in the fossil resource sector. Researchers from Berlin and abroad will present their research. Stéphane Hallegatte (Worldbank) will give a keynote speech on asset stranding in theory and practice.DIW Berlin will host the workshop that is...
emobpy is a Python open-source tool that enables us to generate battery electric vehicle time series. The tool was released in 2020 on Gitlab and PyPI for the first time. A description of the tool was published as an open-access article in Scientific Data. Now we have just passed the 10K downloads!. We want to reach out to everyone who uses emobpy or is...
The Case of the Australian Galilee Basin Thermal coal exporters face increasing uncertainty about future coal demand and the risk of asset stranding is increasing. Nevertheless, new export-oriented coal mine projects like the Carmichael project in the Australian Galilee Basin are still brought forward. In this seminar, we discuss research results with the COALMOD-World model with Australian...
The effects of the climate crisis are worsening water shortages, not only in the Global South but also in Europe, for example in the Berlin-Brandenburg region. Due to inadequate pricing of surface and groundwater abstraction and a lack of regulatory instruments, water overuse is occurring in some regions of Germany. Overuse is especially an issue for industry, which has contractually secured high volumes ...