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Refereed essays Web of Science
What are the economic effects of a central bank that takes the evolution of house prices into account? In an attempt to answer this question, we use a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with a housing sector to explore the economic impacts of a central bank reacting to house price inflation. We examine this in the context of two different shocks that are associated with two ...
In:
Journal of Housing Economics
26 (2014), S. 119-125
| Guido Baldi
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DIW Economic Bulletin 11 / 2014
Very nearly 25 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, households in eastern Germany have an average net worth of 67,400 euros which is less than half that of their counterparts in western Germany with an average net worth of 153,200 euros. In both parts of the country, real estate ownership is quantitatively the most important asset type. Although the share of owner-occupiers has increased significantly ...
2014| Markus M. Grabka
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Refereed essays Web of Science
We examine the effects of an airport expansion on the prices of houses and apartments located under the planned flight paths. We focus on the role of expectations of aircraft noise during the expansion of Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport. The publication of the flight paths can be seen as an exogenous event. It provides local residents and potential home buyers with reliable information in ...
In:
The Annals of Regional Science
52 (2014), 3, 763-797
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Andreas Mense
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Diskussionspapiere 1360 / 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample ...
2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Boriss Siliverstovs
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Externe Monographien
When analyzing economic aspects at regional levels, the spatial dimension of the data plays a crucial role. This is the case as spatial data and models are often characterized by two spatial effects, namely spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. The field of spatial econometrics is a separate field in econometrics that explicitly incorporates these spatial effects into econometric models. Following ...
Berlin:
Freie Univ. Berlin, FB Wirtschaftswiss.,
2013,
XXX, 103 S.
| Katharina Pijnenburg
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DIW Economic Bulletin 6 / 2013
When speculative price bubbles on real estate markets burst, the effects for the real economy are often devastating taking the form of substantial losses in production and employment. This paper discusses the degree to which institutional frameworks can prevent speculative bubbles from emerging and expanding. Comparing experiences in different countries indicates that, in Germany, institutional regulations ...
2013| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Externe Monographien
Heidelberg:
Physica- Verl.,
2013,
263 S.
(ZEW Economic Studies ; 44)
| Klaus Rennings, Bettina Brohmann, Julia Nentwich, Joachim Schleich, Thure Traber, Rolf Wüstenhagen (Eds.)
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Refereed essays Web of Science
In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1-2009:Q4. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental approach and a filter approach. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one which provides the highest concordance between these two techniques. In addition, the authors suggest ...
In:
Economics
7 (2013), 9, 26 S.
| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Diskussionspapiere 1270 / 2013
Spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence are two well established aspects of house price developments. However, the analysis of differences in spatial dependence across time and space has not gained much attention yet. In this paper we jointly analyze these three aspects of spatial data. We apply a panel smooth transition regression model that allows for heterogeneity across time and space in spatial ...
2013| Katharina Pijnenburg
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Refereed essays Web of Science
For many analysts, the Chinese economy is being spurred on by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with potentially adverse effects on the real economy. The house price development is investigated by panel cointegration techniques. Evidence is based on a data-set for 35 major cities. Cointegration is detected between real house ...
In:
Urban Policy and Research
31 (2013), 1, S. 27-39
| Christian Dreger, Yanqun Zhang