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196 results, from 131
Diskussionspapiere 1360 / 2014

Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities

In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample ...

2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Boriss Siliverstovs
Diskussionspapiere 1417 / 2014

Speculative Price Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany

The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price bubbles in 127 large German cities over the last 20 years. Along with testing bubbles for each city separately, ...

2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Claus Michelsen, Dirk Ulbricht
SOEPpapers 668 / 2014

Wohnsituation von Migrantenhaushalten: eine Analyse mit Blick auf den Effekt der Mietpreisbenachteiligung

In this paper a descriptive overview of the housing situation of immigrants in Germany is combined with a multivariate analysis on potential effects of rental price discrimination for specific groups of immigrants. The driving research question is, whether immigrants systematically pay higher rents for comparable flats. Utilizing data from the German Socio-economic Panel (SOEP) different variables ...

2014| Andreas Hartung
Diskussionspapiere 1391 / 2014

Similar Challenges - Different Responses: Housing Policy in Germany and Russia between the Two World Wars

The World War I played a key role in shaping modern housing policy. While in the pre-War time virtually no housing policy existed, the beginning of hostilities led to an almost immediate and comprehensive state intervention in the housing market, particularly among those engaged in the war. Despite initially similar conditions and challenges induced by the war, housing policy was carried out in different ...

2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Mark G. Meerovich
Monographien

Sustainable Energy Consumption in Residential Buildings

Heidelberg: Physica- Verl., 2013, 263 S.
(ZEW Economic Studies ; 44)
| Klaus Rennings, Bettina Brohmann, Julia Nentwich, Joachim Schleich, Thure Traber, Rolf Wüstenhagen (Eds.)
Monographien

Spatial Dependence and Spatial Heterogeneity in the Analysis of Regional Economic Performance and House Price Developments: Dissertation

When analyzing economic aspects at regional levels, the spatial dimension of the data plays a crucial role. This is the case as spatial data and models are often characterized by two spatial effects, namely spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. The field of spatial econometrics is a separate field in econometrics that explicitly incorporates these spatial effects into econometric models. Following ...

Berlin: Freie Univ. Berlin, FB Wirtschaftswiss., 2013, XXX, 103 S. | Katharina Pijnenburg
DIW Economic Bulletin 6 / 2013

Real Estate Booms and Price Bubbles: What Can Germany Learn from Other Countries?

When speculative price bubbles on real estate markets burst, the effects for the real economy are often devastating taking the form of substantial losses in production and employment. This paper discusses the degree to which institutional frameworks can prevent speculative bubbles from emerging and expanding. Comparing experiences in different countries indicates that, in Germany, institutional regulations ...

2013| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
Externe referierte Aufsätze

An Early Warning System to Predict Speculative House Price Bubbles

In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1-2009:Q4. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental approach and a filter approach. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one which provides the highest concordance between these two techniques. In addition, the authors suggest ...

In: Economics 7 (2013), 9, 26 S. | Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market?

For many analysts, the Chinese economy is being spurred on by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with potentially adverse effects on the real economy. The house price development is investigated by panel cointegration techniques. Evidence is based on a data-set for 35 major cities. Cointegration is detected between real house ...

In: Urban Policy and Research 31 (2013), 1, S. 27-39 | Christian Dreger, Yanqun Zhang
Diskussionspapiere 1270 / 2013

The Spatial Dimension of US House Price Developments

Spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence are two well established aspects of house price developments. However, the analysis of differences in spatial dependence across time and space has not gained much attention yet. In this paper we jointly analyze these three aspects of spatial data. We apply a panel smooth transition regression model that allows for heterogeneity across time and space in spatial ...

2013| Katharina Pijnenburg
196 results, from 131
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