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Externe Monographien
This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While global prices are weakly exogenous, consumer prices respond to deviations from the equilibrium relationship. ...
Essen:
RWI,
2013,
26 S.
(Ruhr Economic Papers ; 448)
| Ansgar Belke, Christian Dreger
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Diskussionspapiere 1341 / 2013
The Chinese growth miracle was based on exports and investment in recent years. While strong output growth has been maintained even during the financial crisis, the imbalances within the country increased. To return to a more sustainable path of development, policies are directed to improve the role of private consumption. However, the institutional framework is an impediment to the transformation, ...
2013| Christian Dreger, Tongsan Wang, Yanqun Zhang
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SOEPpapers 594 / 2013
We demonstrate that interpersonal comparisons lead to "keeping up with the Joneses"-behavior. Using annual household data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we estimate the causal effect of changes in reference consumption, defined as the consumption level of all households who are perceived to be richer, on household savings and consumption. When controlling for own income, an increase in reference ...
2013| Moritz Drechsel-Grau, Kai D. Schmid
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This study presents results of the validation of an ultra-short survey measure of patience included in the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Survey responses predict intertemporal choice behavior in incentive-compatible decisions in a representative sample of the German adult population.
In:
Economics Letters
120 (2013), 2, S. 142-145
| Thomas Vischer, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, Jürgen Schupp, Uwe Sunde, Gert G. Wagner
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Externe Monographien
This study aims to explore poverty measures, its dynamics and determinants using Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) and consumption poverty. Our results show that the two measures assign similar poverty status to about 52 percent of households and that both approaches confirm poverty is mainly transient in rural Ethiopia. However, we find that the trend in adjusted head count poverty is different ...
Bonn:
IZA,
2013,
38 S.
(Discussion Paper Series / Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit ; 7364)
| Tilman Brück, Sindu Workneh Kebede
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper empirically investigates the effects of changes in the interest rate as well as in the current and expected future consumer price levels on households' consumption-savings decision. In a structural demand model applied to German consumption data, we use cross-sectional and longitudinal variation in prices and tax rates to construct individual after-tax interest rates and cluster-specific ...
In:
Empirical Economics
45 (2013), 1, S. 371-399
| Martin Beznoska, Richard Ochmann
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Survey-based indicators are widely seen as leading indicators for economic activity. As such, consumer confidence might be informative for the future path of private consumption. Although the indicators receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power often appears to be very limited. This paper takes a fresh look at the data that serve as a basis for the consumer confidence indicator (CCI) ...
In:
Journal of Forecasting
32 (2013), 1, S. 10-18
| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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SOEPpapers 500 / 2012
We study the role of parental wealth for children's educational and occupational outcomes across three types of welfare states and outline a theoretical model that assumes parental wealth to impact offspring's attainment through two mechanisms, wealth's purchasing function and its insurance function. We argue that welfare states can limit the purchasing function of wealth, for instance by providing ...
2012| Fabian T. Pfeffer, Martin Hällsten
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SOEPpapers 499 / 2012
This study presents results of the validation of an ultra-short survey measure of patience included in the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Survey responses predict intertemporal choice behavior in incentive-compatible decisions in a representative sample of the German adult population.
2012| Thomas Vischer, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, Jürgen Schupp, Uwe Sunde, Gert G. Wagner
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DIW Economic Bulletin 7 / 2012
The development of private consumption is a crucial factor in compiling macroeconomic projections as part of national accounts. Household savings also play an important role as an explanatory variable for consumer development, since private households must decide whether to spend their incomes on consumption or saving. The estimated savings rate in DIW Berlin's economic projections can be improved ...
2012| Ferdinand Fichtner, Simon Junker, Carsten Schwäbe