January 21, 2026

Cluster-Seminar Public Finances and Living Conditions

Firm Adjustment to a Policy-Induced Negative Labor Supply Shock: Evidence from Germany

Date

January 21, 2026
12:00-13:00

Location

Anna J. Schwartz Room
Room 5.2.010
Anton-Wilhelm-Amo-Strasse 58
10117 Berlin

Speakers

Lars Felder

With Johannes Geyer, Peter Haan, Jan Nimczik and Lennert Peede

In times of an increasing scarcity of workers, Germany has in a rare move decreased the retirement age for a sizeable group of the workforce. This paper investigates the effect of this negative labor supply shock on firm and individual level outcomes using the universe of firms in the IEB as well as matched employer-employee data from the SIAB. We exploit variation in firms’ exposure to the reform driven by their pre-reform workforce composition. We show that affected workers make use of the reform and exit the labor force earlier. Our data allows us to investigate effects on the careers of coworkers as well as firm-level outcomes. Our results shed light on how firms and workers adjust to labor scarcity induced by demographic and policy changes.

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