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Analysis and forecast of the demographic development, the household composition and the number of active population in Germany and the regions 

Completed Project


Public Economics

The size and structure of the population as well as of households are main determinants of the economic development and the labour force. The demographic change has an impact on the sustainability of the social security system, the educational system and the housing market. In view of the importance of the demographic development on all parts of the society DIW developed three forecasting models, one to forecast the population, the second to forecast the number and structure of private households and the third to forecast the labour force. These models were steadily actualized and advanced.