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534 results, from 1
  • Statement

    ECB failed to clearly communicate the need to cut interest rates this year

    DIW president Marcel Fratzscher on the results of today's meeting of the Governing Council of the ECB:

    25.01.2024| Marcel Fratzscher
  • Statement

    The ECB should cut interest rates from the first quarter of 2024

    The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) decided today to keep the key interest rate constant. Here is a statement from Marcel Fratzscher, President of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin):

    14.12.2023| Marcel Fratzscher
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Foreign Debt, Capital Controls, and Secondary Markets: Theory and Evidence from Nazi Germany

    We investigate how internal distribution motives can affect the implementation of an important macroeconomic policy: capital controls. To do this, we study one of history’s largest debt repatriations, which took place under strict capital controls in 1930s Germany, providing a wealth of quantitative and historical evidence. We show that the authorities kept private repatriations under strict control, ...

    In: Journal of Political Economy (2024), im Ersch. | Andrea Papadia, Claudio A. Schioppa
  • Externe Monographien

    From Policy to Practice: Applying Empirical Analysis and Historic Contexts to Understand Fiscal and Monetary Policy, and their Interaction

    This dissertation collects empirical work in the field of fiscal and monetary policy, and their interaction. It comprises four chapters. In Chapter 1, I investigate the dynamic effects of tax changes on the cross-sectional distribution of disposable income in the US using a narrative identification approach. I distinguish between changes in personal and corporate income taxes and quantify the distributional ...

    Berlin: Freie Universität Berlin, 2023, 206 S. | Stephanie Ettmeier
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Global Risk and the Dollar

    The dollar is a safe-haven currency and appreciates when global risk goes up. We investigate the dollar’s role for the transmission of global risk to the world economy within a Bayesian proxy structural vector autoregressive model. We identify global risk shocks using high-frequency asset-price surprises around narratively selected events. Global risk shocks appreciate the dollar, induce tighter global ...

    In: Journal of Monetary Economics (2024), im Ersch. [online first: 2024-01-11] | Georgios Georgiadis, Gernot J. Müller, Ben Schumann
  • Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 3 / 2023

    Will the Digital Euro Be Attractive Enough to Generate Significant Demand?

    Der Rückgang der Verwendung von Bargeld und das Aufkommen innovativer digitaler Zahlungssysteme haben die EZB wie viele andere Zentralbanken dazu veranlasst, die Einführung ihrer Währung in digitaler Form zu erwägen. Die technischen Probleme bei der Einführung eines digitalen Euro scheinen nicht unüberwindbar zu sein. Ein Thema, das jedoch weniger Beachtung gefunden hat, ist die Nachfrage nach einem ...

    2023| Michael Frenkel
  • Diskussionspapiere 2050 / 2023

    Safe Asset Scarcity and Re-use in the European Repo Market

    We construct the first measure of collateral re-use at the bank and bond level for the European repo market using a regulatory transaction dataset. We show that banks materially increase the rate of re-use in response to tightened asset scarcity induced by the Eurosystem’s asset purchase program. We find that dealers accommodate clients’ demand for safe assets rather than liquidity and profit from ...

    2023| Justus Inhoffen, Iman van Lelyveld
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Signalling Channel of Negative Interest Rates

    Negative policy rates can convince markets that deposit rates will remain lower-for-longer, even when current deposit rates are constrained by zero. This is the signalling channel of negative interest rates. We analyse the optimality and effectiveness of negative rates in the context of this novel transmission channel. In a stylized model, we prove two necessary conditions for optimality: time-consistency ...

    In: Journal of Monetary Economics 138 (2023), S. 87-103 | Oliver de Groot, Alexander Haas
  • DIW Weekly Report 10/11 / 2023

    DIW Berlin Economic Outlook: Global Economy Experiencing Robust Growth; Germany’s Recovery Is Delayed Further

    The German economy will likely contract in the first quarter of 2024 due to still heightened inflation and weak demand, which was already weighing on German economic output in 2023. Inflation, which is falling in both Germany and the euro area overall, is expected to return close to the European Central Bank's two-percent target, suggesting that a turnaround in interest rates can be expected in early ...

    2023| Timm Bönke, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Violetta Kuzmova-Anand, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rullière, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann
  • Externe Monographien

    Monetary-fiscal interaction : Achieving the right monetary-fiscal policy mix in the euro area: In-Depth Analysis ; Requested by the ECON Committee

    Achieving a balanced monetary-fiscal policy mix in the euro area is crucial to ensure that monetary policy is able to fulfil its primary price stability objective. This paper outlines, from an economic and legal perspective, the interaction between monetary and fiscal policy in light of the current monetary and fiscal stance and, in particular, the “quasi-fiscal” effects of some unconventional monetary ...

    Bruxelles: European Parliament, 2023, 23 S.
    (Monetary Dialogue Papers ; September 2023)
    | Kerstin Bernoth, Sara Dietz, Rosa Lastra, Marie Rullière
534 results, from 1
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