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DIW Weekly Report 14 / 2020

Price Stability and Climate Risks: Sensible Measures for the European Central Bank

By the end of 2020, the European Central Bank (ECB) will present the results of its monetary policy strategy review. What changes are to be expected and what changes are needed? This report covers two areas of the strategy review. First, alternatives to the current definition of price stability are discussed. Current studies and the practices of other central banks indicate that supplementing the ...

2020| Franziska Bremus, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Thore Schlaak
Diskussionspapiere 1831 / 2019

Proxy VAR Models in a Data-Rich Environment

Structural VAR models require two ingredients: (i) Informational sufficiency, and (ii) a valid identification strategy. These conditions are unlikely to be met by small-scale recursively identified VAR models. I propose a Bayesian Proxy Factor-Augmented VAR (BP-FAVAR) to combine a large information set with an identification scheme based on an external instrument. In an application to monetary policy ...

2019| Martin Bruns
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

Trade Flows and Fiscal Multipliers

10.12.2019| Nora Traum, HEC Montréal
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

Resurrecting the New-Keynesian Model: (Un)conventional Policy and the Taylor rule

07.01.2020| Olaf Posch, Universität Hamburg
Diskussionspapiere 1814 / 2019

Macroprudential Regulation and Leakage to the Shadow Banking Sector

Macroprudential policies for financial institutions have received increasing prominence since the global financial crisis. These policies are often aimed at the commercial banking sector, while a host of other non-bank financial institutions, or shadow banks, may not fall under their jurisdiction. We study the effects of tightening commercial bank regulation on the shadow banking sector. For this purpose, ...

2019| Stefan Gebauer, Falk Mazelis
Research Project

Macroeconomic fundamentals and asset prices – state dependence and implications for the conduct of monetary policy

Noticing the adoption of unconventional measures of monetary policy in major currency areas on the one hand and continuing globalisation and integration of international financial markets on the other hand, we analyse the linkages between monetary policy and asset prices. Apart from excess asset valuation, we consider second order dynamics (uncertainties, tail risks) as specific threats to...

Current Project| Macroeconomics
Research Project

The effect of the low nominal interest rate environment on household investment behavior

The objective of the project is to analyze the effects of long enduring low interest rates on household investment behavior, setting a special focus on the stock market participation of German and US households. In particular, we address four questions within the project. Did the low interest rate environment induced more households to enter the stock market? How does a low interest rate...

Current Project| Macroeconomics
Research Project

The effect of the low interest environment on household investment behavior

The objective of the project is to analyze the effects of long enduring low interest rates on household investment behavior, setting a special focus on the stock market participation of German and US households. In particular, we address four questions within the project. Did the low interest rate environment induced more households to enter the stock market? How do low interest rates affect the...

Current Project| Macroeconomics
Seminar

Reforms and the Real Exchange Rate: The Role of Pricing-to-Market

The paper investigates how endogenous markups affect the extent to which policy reforms can inuence international competitiveness. In a two-country model where trade costs allow for international market segmentation, we show that endogenous pricing-to-market behavior of firms acts as an important transmission channel of the policies. By strengthening the degree of competition between rms, product...

10.04.2019| Celine Poilly, University of Aix-Marseille, France
Seminar

Ambiguity Attitudes about investments: Evidence from the field

Using an incentivized survey and a representative sample of investors, we elicit ambiguity attitudes toward a familiar company stock, a local stock index, a foreign stock index, and a crypto currency. We separately estimate ambiguity aversion (ambiguity preferences) and perceived ambiguity levels (perceptions about ambiguity), while controlling for unknown likelihood beliefs. We show that...

15.05.2019| Roy Kouwenberg, Mahidol University, Bangkok
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