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412 results, from 291
  • Diskussionspapiere 1326 / 2013

    Skills in the Marketplace: Individual Characteristics and Bargaining Ability in a Field-Based Experiment

    Classic economic theory predicts that markets will clear, leaving little or no gains from trade left on the table. Laboratory experiments have largely confirmed this, though the results of recent field experiments have been mixed, with some artefactual markets in developing countries performing relatively inefficiently. I create a realistic multi-round trading market in Uganda with market-experienced ...

    2013| Nathan Fiala
  • Research Project

    Leibniz ScienceCampus Berlin Centre for Consumer Policies (BCCP)

    Promoting consumers’ rights, prosperity, and wellbeing are core values of the European Union. A wide array of laws, institutions, and regulations – which can be generally termed as consumer policies – aim at protecting consumers by ensuring adequate and truthful information in the marketplace as well as preventing firms from engaging in unfair and competition-impairing practices....

    Recurring Project| Firms and Markets
  • DIW Roundup 53 / 2015

    Is There a Bubble in the German Housing Market?

    After a period of stagnation that lasted for almost two decades, German house prices began to grow at an accelerated pace since late 2010. Real house prices that even had been declining in 2000-2008 started to climb up steeply from the second half of 2010, followed by a recovery of construction activities. This development raised concerns about the formation of a speculative house price bubble among ...

    2015| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Claus Michelsen, Dirk Ulbricht
  • Diskussionspapiere 1360 / 2014

    Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities

    In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially improving the forecasts, given the local nature of the real-estate markets. The forecast accuracy of different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample ...

    2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Boriss Siliverstovs
  • Weitere externe Aufsätze

    Global Steam Coal Markets until 2030: Perspectives on Production, Trade and Consumption under Increasing Carbon Constraints

    In: Roger Fouquet (Ed.) , Handbook on Energy and Climate Change
    Cheltenham [u.a.] : Elgar
    S. 103-122
    | Clemens Haftendorn, Franziska Holz, Claudia Kemfert, Christian von Hirschhausen
  • DIW Economic Bulletin 6 / 2013

    Real Estate Booms and Price Bubbles: What Can Germany Learn from Other Countries?

    When speculative price bubbles on real estate markets burst, the effects for the real economy are often devastating taking the form of substantial losses in production and employment. This paper discusses the degree to which institutional frameworks can prevent speculative bubbles from emerging and expanding. Comparing experiences in different countries indicates that, in Germany, institutional regulations ...

    2013| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    An Early Warning System to Predict Speculative House Price Bubbles

    In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1-2009:Q4. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental approach and a filter approach. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one which provides the highest concordance between these two techniques. In addition, the authors suggest ...

    In: Economics 7 (2013), 9, 26 S. | Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • Externe Monographien

    An Early Warning System to Predict the Speculative House Price Bubbles

    In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q12009:Q4. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of fundamental and filter approaches. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one providing the highest concordance between these two techniques. In addition, the authors suggest an early warning ...

    Kiel: IfW, 2012, 23 S.
    (Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal : Discussion Papers ; 2012-44)
    | Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market?

    For many analysts, the Chinese economy is being spurred on by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with potentially adverse effects on the real economy. The house price development is investigated by panel cointegration techniques. Evidence is based on a data-set for 35 major cities. Cointegration is detected between real house ...

    In: Urban Policy and Research 31 (2013), 1, S. 27-39 | Christian Dreger, Yanqun Zhang
  • DIW Economic Bulletin 12 / 2012

    German Cities to See Further Rises in Housing Prices and Rents in 2013

    Over the past few years, prices and rents for flats went up in most German cities. This trend is expected to continue in 2013. Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, and Frankfurt am Main will still see the highest increases in property prices and rents. In these cities, housing prices are rising much faster than rents. By contrast, stagnating or even falling prices are forecast for the cities in the Ruhr area. ...

    2012| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Andreas Mense
412 results, from 291
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