841 results, from 1
Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 1 / 2020

Debt and Financial Sentiment: Early Keynes on Balance Sheet Effects of Asset Price Changes

Das Papier untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen finanzieller Stimmung und privater Verschuldung und verwendet Keynes’ ‚A Treatise on Money‘ als konzeptionellen Hintergrund. In der Antwort auf seine Kritiker nach der Veröffentlichung seiner ‚General Theory‘ sprach Keynes bekanntlich von unerwarteten, gewaltigen Veränderungen bei der konventionellen Vermögensbewertung, wenn Zweifel an der Werthaltigkeit ...

2020| Korkut Alp Ertürk, Jake Jennings
DIW Weekly Report 12 / 2020

Coronavirus Causing Major Economic Shock to the Global Economy: DIW Economic Outlook

The ongoing corona pandemic is causing a major shock to the global economy. In the coming months, many countries are expected to suffer severe economic downturns. Sealing off entire regions disrupts supply chains, resulting in production losses and falls in consumption. The global economy is expected to grow by as little as 2.5 percent this year instead of by the 3.7 percent forecasted previously. ...

2020| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth
DIW Weekly Report 12 / 2020

Coronavirus Plunges the German Economy into Recession: DIW Economic Outlook

The spread of the coronavirus worldwide is exerting considerable pressure on the economy. Compounded by the lack of quality data, model uncertainty, and uncertainty over government responses, economic forecasts are subject to even greater uncertainty than usual. It is difficult to predict how the pandemic will progress. Figures on the impact of the virus, obtained by comparing it with previous epidemics, ...

2020| Claus Michelsen, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Thore Schlaak
Press Release

Joint Economic Forecast: Economy in Shock – Fiscal Policy to Counteract

The coronavirus pandemic is triggering a severe recession in Germany. Economic output will shrink by 4.2 percent this year. This is what the leading economics research institutes expect in their spring report. For next year, they are forecasting a recovery and growth of 5.8 percent. Gross domestic product is likely to have shrunk by 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2020 alone. In the second quarter, ...


The ECB is sending a strong signal that now also governments need to act more decisively

DIW president Marcel Fratzscher comments today's announcements by the ECB as follows:

12.03.2020| Marcel Fratzscher
DIW Weekly Report 49/50 / 2019

German Economy: Industry Struggles to Shake of the Crisis: DIW Economic Outlook

The German economy remains weak as of the fourth quarter of 2019. However, although industrial production is continuing its downward trend, there are signs of a slow recovery. The manufacturing sector is likely to expand production gradually beginning in 2020; therefore, it is less likely the recession in the industry will affect the service sector and construction industry. These sectors are profiting ...

2019| Claus Michelsen, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt, Thore Schlaak
DIW Weekly Report 49/50 / 2019

Strengthen the Foundation of the German Economy: Editorial

2019| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Marius Clemens, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Stefan Gebauer, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Laura Pagenhardt, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak
DIW Weekly Report 49/50 / 2019

Global Economy Continues to Suffer Weak Growth Momentum: DIW Economic Outlook

Favorable labor market conditions and the resulting increase in private consumption are still sustaining the global economy. Trade disputes and political uncertainties, however, continue to slow investment activity, with the result that economic growth will only be moderate particularly in advanced economies. By contrast, growth is accelerating in emerging markets, especially in India. Global economic ...

2019| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth
Research Project

Development of a macroeconomic forecasting model within the framework of the project "GET Uzbekistan"

The project "German Economic Team Uzbekistan" ("GET Uzbekistan") supports the Uzbek government in stabilizing economic development and shaping the necessary economic reform processes. GET Uzbekistan is part of the regional project "High Level Government Advice on behalf of the BMWi", which also includes Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova and Georgia.As a subcontractor of the BE Berlin Economics, DIW...

Current Project| Forecasting and Economic Policy
Press Release

Joint economic forecast autumn 2019: Economy Cools Further – Industry in Recession

Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association, ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in cooperation with the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), ...

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