382 results, from 21
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Exit Expectations and Debt Crises in Currency Unions

We study a sovereign debt crisis in a small member state of a currency union. If the country exits the currency union, it may redenominate its liabilities and reduce the real value of debt through depreciation and inflation. We analyze formally how the anticipation of this possibility, “exit expectations”, impact the dynamics of the sovereign debt crisis. First, we show that public debt accumulates ...

In: Journal of International Economics 121 (2019), 103253, 13 S. | Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller, Martin Wolf
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

The Big Bang: Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run (with Kaspar Zimmermann)

29.10.2019| Dmitry Kuvshinov, Pompeu Fabra
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

Monetary Policy and Corporate Debt Structure (co-authored with S. Lhuissier)

05.11.2019| Urszula Szczerbowicz, Banque de France
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth

06.11.2019| Ufuk Akcigit, University of Chicago
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Bayesian Inference for Structural Vector Autoregressions IdentifiEd by Markov-Switching Heteroskedasticity

In this study, Bayesian inference is developed for structural vector autoregressive models in which the structural parameters are identified via Markov-switching heteroskedasticity. In such a model, restrictions that are just-identifying in the homoskedastic case, become over-identifying and can be tested. A set of parametric restrictions is derived under which the structural matrix is globally or ...

In: Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 113 (2020), 103862 | Helmut Lütkepohl, Tomasz Wozniak
DIW focus

ECB and Fed monetary policy measures against the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic have little effect

To cushion the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic, central banks have taken far-reaching monetary policy measures. The US Federal Reserve has lowered its interest rates and, like the European Central Bank, has expanded its bond purchase programs. However, it is questionable whether these measures are having the desired effect of calming the markets and supporting the real economy. It is...

27.04.2020| Kerstin Bernoth, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Anna Gibert
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Inflation Expectations and the Recovery from the Great Depression in Germany

A regime shift toward increased inflation expectations is credited with jump-starting the recov- ery from the Great Depression in the United States. What role did inflation expectations play in Germany that experienced a similarly successful economic upturn in the 1930s? We study infla- tion expectations in the German recovery across several methods: we conduct a narrative study of media sources; we estimate ...

In: Explorations in Economic History 75 (2020), 101305, 18 S. | Volker Daniel, Lucas ter Steege

Vierteljahrsheft 1/2020: Debt – Blessing or Curse?

Since the 1980s, especially in the new millenium, the issue of debt is increasingly the focus of political debates, as an analysis of parliamentary speeches since 1949 shows. More than ten years after the outbreak of the great financial crisis and almost ten years since the beginning of the European sovereignty debt crisis, there are not just questions about the opportunities and risks of debt but ...

25.03.2020| Dorothea Schäfer
DIW Weekly Report 14 / 2020

Price Stability and Climate Risks: Sensible Measures for the European Central Bank

By the end of 2020, the European Central Bank (ECB) will present the results of its monetary policy strategy review. What changes are to be expected and what changes are needed? This report covers two areas of the strategy review. First, alternatives to the current definition of price stability are discussed. Current studies and the practices of other central banks indicate that supplementing the ...

2020| Franziska Bremus, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Thore Schlaak

Call for Papers: Determinants of Non-cash payments and alternative money

Conference in Bremen, June, 16th, 2020 and Quarterly Journal of Economic Research (DIW Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung) Description Advances in payment technologies have considerably extended the way how we pay for transactions. While the majority of financial transactions has been even traditionally done by the means of non-cash (e.g. equity payments in mergers & acquisitions), nowadays ...

05.03.2020| Dorothea Schäfer
382 results, from 21