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Diskussionspapiere 1754 / 2018

Macroeconomic Effects of Government Spending: The Great Recession Was (Really) Different

We estimate the effect of government spending shocks on the US economy with a time-varying parameter vector autoregression. The recent Great Recession period appears to be characterized by uniquely large impulse responses of output to fiscal shocks.

2018| Mathias Klein, Ludger Linnemann
DIW Weekly Report 36 / 2018

German Economy Continues to Grow Moderately but Risks Remain: Editorial

2018| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Christian Breuer, Martin Bruns, Marius Clemens, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Stefan Gebauer, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak
DIW Weekly Report 36 / 2018

German Economy Remaining Robust in Uncertain Times: DIW Economic Outlook

The German economy will keep on growing amid risks although growth will slow down somewhat. GDP will continue to grow noticeably at 1.8 percent this year, 1.7 percent next year, and 1.8 percent in 2020. Private household incomes in particular—and .

2018| Claus Michelsen, Christian Breuer, Martin Bruns, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Thore Schlaak
Press Release

DIW Berlin Economic Barometer January 2018: the German economy is soaring

The German economy continues to soar: the German Institute for Economic Research’s (DIW Berlin) Economic Barometer is at its highest reading in seven years. The index score for the first quarter landed at 118 points, an increase of almost four

31.01.2018
Monographien

Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold

We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The ...

München: CESifo, 2017, 39 S.
(CESifo Working Papers ; 6327)
| Michele Piffer, Maximilian Podstawski
Press Release

The German economy is slowing down somewhat

According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 1.9 percent this year and 1.7 percent next year. The GDP growth forecast has thus decreased by 0.5 percentage points for this year and by 0.2 percentage points for the coming year .

15.06.2018
Weekly Report

German economy: Slowdown in sight

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the .

15.06.2018| Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Thore Schlaak
DIW Weekly Report 24 / 2018

The German Economy Is Slowing down Somewhat: Editorial

2018| Ferdinand Fichtner, Guido Baldi, Christian Breuer, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Marcel Fratzscher, Stefan Gebauer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Malte Rieth, Thore Schlaak
DIW Weekly Report 24 / 2018

The Global Economy and the Euro Area: Increased Uncertainty Is Dampening Growth

The political conditions for growth are currently dominated by increased uncertainty; this is particularly weighing on investment activity and slowing down the global economy. DIW Berlin is lowering its forecast slightly for this year and the next to

2018| Ferdinand Fichtner, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth
DIW Weekly Report 24 / 2018

German Economy: Slowdown in Sight

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incom

2018| Ferdinand Fichtner, Christian Breuer, Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Thore Schlaak
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