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Externe referierte Aufsätze

Exchange Rates, Foreign Currency Exposure and Sovereign Risk

We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) and conditional on data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data-based identification approach of the structural shocks that allows to account for the complex interrelations within the triad of exchange rates, ...

In: Journal of International Money and Finance (2021), im Ersch. [online first: 2021-06-22] | Kerstin Bernoth, Helmut Herwatz
Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 3 / 2020

Development Banks – Not Only Important in Times of Covid-19: Editorial

2020| Andreas Pfingsten, Dorothea Schäfer
Diskussionspapiere 1869 / 2020

Institutional Diversity in Domestic Banking Sectors and Bank Stability: A Cross-Country Study

This paper analyzes the causal relationship between institutional diversity in domestic banking sectors and bank stability. We use a large bank- and country-level unbalanced panel data set covering the EU member states’ banking sectors between 1998 and 2014. Constructing two distinct indicators for measuring institutional diversity, we find that a high degree of institutional diversity in the domestic ...

2020| Christopher F. Baum, Caterina Forti Grazzini, Dorothea Schäfer
Diskussionspapiere 1866 / 2020

Currency Futures' Risk Premia and Risk Factors

The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling period. The FFP appears to be a pre-crisis phenomenon and is only observed for maturities longer than about one ...

2020| Kerstin Bernoth, Jürgen von Hagen, Casper G. de Vries
Diskussionspapiere 1844 / 2020

Legal History, Institutions and Banking System Development in Africa

This paper links banking systems development to the colonial and legal history of African countries. Specifically, we investigate the impact of differing legal traditions on the development of existing investor and creditor protection, and on African banking systems. Based on a sample of 40 African countries from 2000 to 2016, our empirical findings show a significant dependence of current financial ...

2020| Samuel Mutarindwa, Dorothea Schäfer, Andreas Stephan
DIW Lecture on Money and Finance

Monetary Policy in the Modern Era

26.02.2020| Gabriel Makhlouf, Ulrike Neyer, Hans-Helmut Kotz, Dorothea Schäfer
Seminar of Macro Department

tba

16.11.2021| Fabian Seyrich
Diskussionspapiere 1956 / 2021

The Multifaceted Impact of US Trade Policy on Financial Markets

We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously, but generally negatively, increasing market uncertainty, lowering interest rates, and leading to an appreciation ...

2021| Lukas Boer, Lukas Menkhoff, Malte Rieth
Diskussionspapiere 1959 / 2021

What Drives Saudi Airstrikes in Yemen? An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamics of Coalition Airstrikes, Houthi Attacks, and the Oil Market

Since 2015, Saudi Arabia has led a foreign military intervention against the Houthi movement, which took over major parts of Yemen. The intervention, which manifests mainly in airstrikes, has attracted widespread controversy in media and politics as well as a large body of (qualitative) academic literature discussing its background and ways to escape it. Complementary to these efforts and connecting ...

2021| Dawud Ansari, Mariza Montes de Oca Leon, Helen Schlüter
Diskussionspapiere 1966 / 2021

Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary-Fiscal Stabilization

This paper examines the role of sovereign default beliefs for macroeconomic fluctuations and stabilization policy in a small open economy where fiscal solvency is a critical problem. We set up and estimate a DSGE model on Turkish data and show that accounting for sovereign risk significantly improves the fit of the model through an endogenous amplification between default beliefs, exchange rate and ...

2021| Markus Kirchner, Malte Rieth
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