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  • Blog Marcel Fratzscher

    Germany’s debt brake is breaking its economy

    The recent decision by the German Constitutional Court to block the government’s plan to redirect €60 billion in unused pandemic funds toward climate-related projects has underscored the growing divisions within Germany’s three-party ruling coalition. Moreover, the decision is set to undermine economic growth at a critical moment. Earlier this month, Germany’s Constitutional Court ruled that the government’s ...

    30.11.2023| Marcel Fratzscher
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo

    This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 266,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering up to 91 countries. Our main insight is that, as in equity markets, the returns on external sovereign bonds have been sufficiently high to compensate for risk. Real ...

    In: The Quarterly Journal of Economics 137 (2022), 3, S. 1615–1680 | Josefin Meyer, Carmen M. Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch
  • Externe Monographien

    Committed to Flexible Fiscal Rules

    Paris: Banque de France, 2021, III, 43 S.
    (Working Papers / Banque de France ; 854)
    | Chistoph Grosse-Steffen, Laura Pagenhardt, Malte Rieth
  • Diskussionspapiere 1992 / 2022

    Foreign Debt, Capital Controls, and Secondary Markets: Theory and Evidence from Nazi Germany

    We investigate how internal distribution motives can interfere with the economic objectives of capital controls. In order to do this, we provide a model showing that elite capture can affect optimal debt repatriations and the management of official reserves under capital controls. Relying on these theoretical insights and a wealth of quantitative and qualitative historical evidence, we study one of ...

    2022| Andrea Papadia, Claudio A. Schioppa
  • Diskussionspapiere 2042 / 2023

    When Credit Turns Political: Evidence from the Spanish Financial Crisis

    This paper provides causal evidence on the effect of credit crunches on political polarization. We combine data on bank-firm connections and electoral outcomes at the city-level during the 2008-2014 Spanish Financial Crisis. First, we show that firms in a relationship with weak banks experience a reduction in their loan supply and employment growth. Next, we estimate the effects of unemployment on ...

    2023| Pia Hüttl, Simon Baumgartner
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Green Premiums Are a Challenge and an Opportunity for Climate Policy Design: Comment

    Adjusting green public support programmes to green premiums can reduce public spending, yet this is challenged by uncertainty. Underfunding green technologies can delay the green transition, and overfunding them can increase transition costs. Both risks of under- and overfunding can be reduced using responsive adjustments.

    In: Nature Climate Change 13 (2023), S. 592-595 | Till Köveker, Olga Chiappinelli, Mats Kröger, Oliver Lösch, Karsten Neuhoff, Jörn C. Richstein, Xi Sun
  • Event

    Managing Public Debt and Economic Challenges

    Join us for an insightful presentation on the global impact of COVID-19 on public debt and the challenges it poses for policymakers. This lecture explore the effectiveness of different approaches to reducing debt-to-GDP ratios, considering econometric analyses and historical experiences. Followed by a discussion. Key findings include: Fiscal consolidations: Timely and well-designed fiscal...

    14.06.2023| Asonuma Tamon, Josefin Meyer
  • Research Project

    EU Tax Observatory

    The EU Tax Observatory is an independent research laboratory hosted at the Paris School of Economics and DIW is the national cooperation partner.  It conducts innovative research on taxation, contributes to a democratic and inclusive debate on the future of taxation, and fosters a dialogue between the scientific community, civil society, and policymakers in the European Union and worldwide.

    Current Project| Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Economic Policy
  • Research Project

    Wealth policy instruments and wealth inequality

    Development of a dynamic framework to depict and compare the effects of wealth policy instruments in the short, medium, and long term. Among the examined instruments are a general wealth tax, a social inheritance, and a social dividend.

    Current Project| Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Economic Policy
  • SOEP Brown Bag Seminar

    Europe’s biggest Basic Income pilot project. The Catalan case.

    After the economic impact of the COVID-19 crisis, Catalonia is set to be the place of the most ambitious Universal Basic Income (UBI) pilot experiment in Europe to date. Up to 5,000 participants will be selected to receive for two years (2023-2024) an individual cash benefit of 800 EUR (300 EUR for minors), unconditionally. The Catalan pilot project will also test the...

    10.08.2022| Aida Martínez Tinaut, Team of Experts for Catalonia's Office of the Pilot Plan to Implement the Universal Basic Income
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