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Regional Decline, Satisfaction with Democracy and Support for Right-Wing Populist Parties. Evidence from Germany (with Larissa Deppisch)

A consistent finding in research on the success of right-wing populist parties is that they gain support in regions that are peripheralized. In such regions, the decline of manufacturing jobs, public services, and infrastructure is thought to lead to growing frustration with democratic institutions and mainstream political parties, providing opportunities for right-wing populist parties to...

16th Transatlantic Workshop on the Economics of Crime

The 16th Transatlantic Workshop on the Economics of Crime will be held in Berlin at the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) on September 26-27, 2025. The event will be jointly organized by Anna Bindler (DIW Berlin & University of Potsdam) and Christian Traxler (Hertie School). We aim to bring together researchers from both sides of the Atlantic to present and discuss their...

The Effect of Migration on Careers of Natives: Evidence from Long-Term Care

This paper examines the effect of increasing foreign staffing on the labor market outcomes of native workers in the German long-term care sector. Using administrative social security data covering the universe of long-term care workers and policy-induced exogenous variation, we find that increased foreign staffing reduces labor shortages but has diverging implications for the careers of native workers ...

Equilibrium Effects of Payroll Tax Reductions and Optimal Policy Design

We quantify the unintended effects of a low-wage payroll tax reduction using an equilibrium search model featuring bargaining, worker and firm productivity heterogeneity, labor taxes, and a minimum wage. The decentralized economy is inefficient due to search externalities and labor market policies. We estimate the model using French data and find that a significant reduction in low-wage payroll taxes ...

Migration and Native Health: New Evidence from the Workplace

This paper evaluates the impact of immigration on the incidence of severe health shocks at the workplace level. Using rich linked employer-employee data from Germany and an instrumental variable leveraging policy variation, I show that firms with a higher concentration of foreign workers experience lower rates of long-term sickness among their employees. Decomposing the rates by gender and worker...

The Effect of Adverse Life-Events on Income Trajectories

This paper studies and compares the effect of different adverse life events -- job loss, disability and health shocks, divorce and spousal death -- on individuals' income trajectories. We use a harmonized design across events in terms of methodology and data: matching difference-in-difference with exhaustive Dutch administrative registers. We assess the effect of adverse events on different...

How to increase employment of the elderly

The Economic Burden of Burnout (with Arash Nekoei and Jósef Sigurdsson)

We study the economic consequences of stress-related occupational illnesses (burnout) using Swedish administrative data. Using a mover design, we find that high-burnout firms and stressful occupations universally raise burnout risk yet disproportionately impact low-stress-tolerance workers. Workers who burn out endure permanent earnings losses regardless of gender—while women are three times more...

Examining Double Standards in Layoff Preferences and Expectations for Gender, Age, and Ethnicity When Violating the Social Norm of Vaccination

Whether vaccination refusal is perceived as a social norm violation that affects layoff decisions has not been tested. Also unknown is whether ascribed low-status groups are subject to double standards when they violate norms, experiencing stronger sanctions in layoff preferences and expectations, and whether work performance attenuates such sanctioning. Therefore, we study layoff preferences and expectations ...

Financial Incentives and Labor Force Participation of Older Workers: Evidence from France

This paper estimates the impact of financial incentives on retirement decision in France for cohorts of men retiring between 1994 to 2012. During these two decades, a number of pension reforms took place, all aiming to achieve financial balance in the context of increasing life expectancy. These reforms strengthened incentives to retire later, either by ofoffering increased pension benefit for later ...