German Economy Remaining Robust in Uncertain Times: DIW Economic Outlook

DIW Weekly Report 36 / 2018, S. 334-337

Claus Michelsen, Christian Breuer, Martin Bruns, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Thore Schlaak

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Abstract

The German economy will keep on growing amid risks although growth will slow down somewhat. GDP will continue to grow noticeably at 1.8 percent this year, 1.7 percent next year, and 1.8 percent in 2020. Private household incomes in particular—and thus consumption as well—are boosting growth, as the labor markets are improving: the unemployment rate will fall from 5.2 percent this year to well below five percent in 2020 and lead to stronger wage increases. However, inflation will remain moderate at almost two percent.

Max Hanisch

Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter in der Abteilung Weltwirtschaft

Marius Clemens

Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter in der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

Martin Johannes Bruns

Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter in der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

Thore Schlaak

Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter in der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

Claus Michelsen

Abteilungsleiter in der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

Simon Junker

Stellvertretender Abteilungsleiter in der Abteilung Konjunkturpolitik

Themen: Konjunktur



JEL-Classification: E32;E66;F01
Keywords: Business cycle forecast, economic outlook