Veranstaltungen

Konjunktur, Wachstum, Wirtschaftsstruktur
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23. Januar 2019

DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Monetary Policy Spillovers, Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Regimes, and the Financial Channel of Exchange Rates

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  • Georgios Georgiadis, European Central Bank

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    19. Dez 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets TBA

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  • Tarek Hassan, Boston University

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    12. Dez 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets TBA

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  • Raffaella Giacomini, University College London

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    24. Oktober 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets When and Why Can Forward Guidance De-anchor Expectations? (with Gaetano Gaballo, Peter Hoffmann and Georg Strasser)

    The form of forward guidance matters for its effectiveness in anchoring expectations about the future path of policy rates. We report cross-country evidence about the impact of different types of forward guidance on the reactiveness of markets to macroeconomic news and on disagreement across forecasters, and show that timecontingent forward guidance over a short horizon and open-ended forward guidance are ineffective at best, and add uncertainty about the policy path at worst. Time-contingent forward guidance over long horizons makes asset prices entirely unresponsive to incoming news, and eliminates all disagreement across forecasters, whereas state-contingent forward guidance preserves some responsiveness and some disagreement. We also show that in the presence of asset purchases, forward guidance anchors expectations more effectively. We rationalize our findings with a rational expectations model with noisy market information, where the precision of the market signal depends on how strongly agents respond to their own private information, which becomes less relevant after forward guidance.

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  • Michael Ehrmann, European Central Bank

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    17. Oktober 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets "A Schumpeterian Model of Top Income Inequality"

    Top income inequality rose sharply in the United States over the last 40 years but increased only slightly in economies like France and Japan. Why? This paper explores a model in which heterogeneous entrepreneurs, broadly interpreted, exert effort to generate exponential growth in their incomes. On its own, this force leads to rising inequality. Creative destruction by outside innovators restrains this expansion and induces top incomes to obey a Pareto distribution. The development of the world wide web and a reduction in top tax rates are examples of changes that raise the growth rate of entrepreneurial incomes and therefore increase Pareto inequality. In contrast, policies that stimulate creative destruction reduce top inequality. Examples include research subsidies or a decline in the extent to which incumbent firms can block new innovation. Differences in these considerations across countries and over time may explain the varied patterns of top income inequality that we see in the data.

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  • Jihee Kim, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    17. Sept 2018

    Veranstaltung Forward guidance and policy normalisation

    Benoît Cœuré has been a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank since 1 January 2012. He is responsible for International and European Relations, Market Operations and the Oversight of Payment Systems. He is the Chairman of the Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI) of the Bank for International Settlements, and has held this position since October 2013. He has held various positions at the French Treasury, notably that of Chief Executive of the debt management office Agence France Trésor, G7 and G20 sous-sherpa, Deputy Director General and Chief Economist. Graduate of the École polytechnique and alumnus of the École nationale de la statistique et de l’administration économique (ENSAE), he teaches at the Institut d’études politiques de Paris (Sciences Po). He is also the author of numerous articles and books on international and European monetary and financial issues.

    Referent/-in
    Zeit
    11.00 - 12.15
    Ort
    Q-Club Quartier Zukunft Friedrichstraße 181 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 181
    11. Juli 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Measuring Productivity Dispersion: Lessons from Counting One-Hundred Million Ballots

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  • Ethan Ilzetzki, London School of Economics

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    13. Juni 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Short-Run Pain of Labor Market Reforms in Recessions? Identifying Asymmetric Reform Effects

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  • Enzo Weber, University of Regensburg

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    6. Juni 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Couples’ Time Use and Aggregate Outcomes: Evidence from a Structural Model

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  • Monika Merz, University of Vienna

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Karl Popper Room DIW Berlin Raum 2.3.020 Mohrenstr. 58 10117 Berlin
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    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    30. Mai 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Financial frictions and wages

    This paper aims at analyzing the interaction between financial frictions and wages. We use a large data set for Germany for 2006 to 2014 that combines administrative data on workers and wages with detailed information on firms' balance sheets. Controlling for firm characteristics and time fixed effects, we find that higher leverage (as a measure for financial frictions) implies on average lower wages. To explain this empirical result, we build a theoretical model with labor market frictions and monitoring cost in the financial market. We show that wages react differently to financial frictions depending on whether firms use external borrowing to finance vacancy posting costs only or also the wage bill (as well as vacancy costs). If firms need to finance their wage bill, financial frictions induce a wedge between productivity and wages. Contrary to the existing literature, the model implies higher employment volatility with less rather than more rigid wages.

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  • Britta Gehrke, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nürnberg

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    23. Mai 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Employment, Wages and Optimal Monetary Policy

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  • Martin Bodenstein, FED

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    16. Mai 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Is Collateral the New King?

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  • Angelo Ranaldo, University of St.Gallen

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    25. April 2018

    Berlin Lunchtime Meeting China's economic policy future: state capitalism or strengthened market economy?

    The DIW Berlin and the OECD Berlin Centre cordially invite you to the Berlin Lunchtime Meeting.

    In China the strengthening of market mechanisms hoped for by western businesses is making only slow progress. Instead the state and the Communist Party are expanding their influence in the economy. This has consequences for China's economic policy. In the past decades this has led to growing overcapacities and indebtedness. Now China is aiming at global technological leadership. Is this approach a threat to the liberal order of the global economy?

    The event language will be English.

    The lecture starts at 13:00 p.m.

    We look forward to your participation, and request that you register at

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    Referent/-in
  • Dr. Max J. Zenglein
    Margit Molnar, Ph.D.

  • Zeit
    12.00 - 14.15 Uhr
    Ort
    Elinor Ostrom Hall Raum 1.2.019 Mohrenstr. 58 10117 Berlin
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    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 569
    25. April 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Ambiguity Attitudes, Beliefs Formation and the Leverage Cycle

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  • Ester Faia, Goethe University Frankfurt

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Joan Robinson Room DIW Berlin Raum 3.3.002a Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 486
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 409
    9. März 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets The Re-Emerging Privilege of Euro Area Membership

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  • Johannes Wiegand, IMF

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    DIW Berlin (Raum 2.3.020) DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 424
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 230
    14. Februar 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets International Capital Flows, External Assets and Output Volatility

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  • Michael Krause, University of Cologne

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Gustav-Schmoller-Raum DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 491
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 230
    7. Februar 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Conservatism and Liquidity Traps

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  • Sebastian Schmidt, European Central Bank

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Gustav-Schmoller-Raum DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 424
    31. Januar 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Mixed frequency models with MA components

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  • Claudia Foroni, Deutsche Bundesbank

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Gustav-Schmoller-Raum DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 464
    24. Januar 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets New Methods for Macro-Financial Model Comparison and Policy Analysis & Recent Applications

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    Referent/-in
  • Volker Wieland, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Gustav-Schmoller-Raum DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 491
    17. Januar 2018

    DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks

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  • Peter Tillmann, Universität Giessen

  • Zeit
    12:00-13:15
    Ort
    Gustav-Schmoller-Raum DIW Berlin im Quartier 110 Raum 3.3.002A Mohrenstraße 58 10117 Berlin
    Ansprechpartner/-in
    im DIW Berlin
    Tel.: +49 30 89789 424
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