From a political economy perspective, politicians often fail to imple-ment structural reforms. In this contribution we investigate if the resistance toreform is based on the differences in the risk preferences of voters, politicians,and bureaucrats. Based on three surveys among the German electorate, 175members of the Federal German Parliament and 106 officials from Germanministries, this is not the ...
In this study, Bayesian inference is developed for structural vector autoregressive models in which the structural parameters are identified via Markov-switching heteroskedasticity. In such a model, restrictions that are just-identifying in the homoskedastic case, become over-identifying and can be tested. A set of parametric restrictions is derived under which the structural matrix is globally or ...
Methods for constructing joint confidence bands for impulse response functions which are commonly used in vector autoregressive analysis are reviewed. While considering separate intervals for each horizon individually still seems to be the most common approach, a substantial number of methods have been proposed for making joint inferences about the complete impulse response paths up to a given horizon. ...
While the first two pillars of the European Banking Union have been implemented, a European deposit insurance scheme (EDIS) is still not in place. To facilitate its introduction, recent proposals argue in favor of a reinsurance scheme. In this paper, we use a regime-switching open-economy DSGE model with bank default and bank-government linkages to assess the relative efficiency of such a scheme. We ...
Nach wie vor entscheidet sich die Mehrheit der BachelorabsolventInnen für ein Masterstudium, auch wenn die Anteile zurückgehen. Wenig ist jedoch darüber bekannt, was diese Entscheidung beeinflusst und inwiefern dabei Informationen über zusätzliche Erträge eines Masterstudiums und dessen Finanzierung im Vergleich zu einem Bachelorstudium relevant sind. Die vorliegende Analyse auf Basis des Berliner-Studienberechtigten-Panels ...
In conventional structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models it is assumed that there are at most as many structural shocks as there are variables in the model. It is pointed out that heteroskedasticity can be used to identify more shocks than variables. However, even if there is heteroskedasticity, the number of shocks that can be identified is limited. A number of results are provided that allow ...
We reexamine whether pre-Volcker U.S. fiscal policy was active or passive. To do so, we estimate a DSGE model with monetary and fiscal policy interactions employing a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm (SMC) for posterior evaluation. Unlike existing studies, we do not have to treat each policy regime as distinct, separately estimated, models. Rather, SMC enables us to estimate the DSGE model over its entire ...
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