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Externe referierte Aufsätze

Government Ownership of Banks, Institutions and Economic Growth

We present new cross-country evidence that reveals that during 1995-2007, government ownership of banks has been robustly associated with higher long-run growth rates. We also show that previous results suggesting that government ownership of banks is associated with lower long-run growth rates are not robust to conditioning on more "fundamental" determinants of economic growth.

In: Economica 79 (2012), 315, S. 449-469 | Svetlana Andrianova, Panicos Demetriades, Anja Shortland
Monographien

Is there a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market?

Frankfurt / Oder: Europa-Univers. Viadrina, 2010, 25 S.
(Discussion Paper / European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics ; 290)
| Christian Dreger, Yanqun Zhang
Monographien

Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption? A Real-Time Evidence for the US

Zürich: KOF, 2010, 25 S.
(KOF Working Papers ; 256)
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Maximilian Podstawski, Boriss Siliverstovs
Diskussionspapiere 1062 / 2010

China's Overt Economic Rise and Latent Human Capital Investment: Achieving Milestones and Competing for the Top

We provide an overview of China's economic rise through time. Over the past decade, China has maintained 10% growth in GDP, albeit with a GDP per capita at the low level of a developing country. Its tremendous economic development has overlooked the growing social inequalities and rising resentments of the 'cheap' workers and those laid off. The main contributor to its ascension is international trade ...

2010| Amelie F. Constant, Bienvenue N. Tien, Klaus F. Zimmermann, Jingzhou Meng
Diskussionspapiere 1064 / 2010

Money Demand and the Role of Monetary Indicators in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand function. The out-of sample forecasting performance is compared to widely used alternatives, such as the term structure of interest rates. ...

2010| Christian Dreger, Jürgen Wolters
Diskussionspapiere 1067 / 2010

COALMOD-World: A Model to Assess International Coal Markets until 2030

Coal continues to be an important fuel in many countries' energy mix and, despite the climate change concerns, it is likely to maintain this position for the next decades. In this paper a numerical model is developed to investigate the evolution of the international market for steam coal, the coal type used for electricity generation. The main focus is on future trade ows and investments in production ...

2010| Clemens Haftendorn, Franziska Holz, Christian von Hirschhausen
Weitere Aufsätze

Monetary Policy Challenges of the ECB Facing a Divergent Inflationary Process in the EMU Area

In: Giuseppe Fontana, John McCombie, Malcolm Sawyer (Eds.) , Macroeconomics, Finance and Money
Basingstoke : Palgrave Macmillan
S. 54-74
| Georg Erber, Harald Hagemann
DIW Wochenbericht 25 / 2010

Regionale Unterschiede in China: Konvergenz noch zu schwach

Im Verlauf der rasanten wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung Chinas haben sich enorme regionale Unterschiede herausgebildet. In der leistungsstärksten Provinz (Shanghai) war das Pro-Kopf-Einkommen 2007 fast zehnmal so hoch wie in der wirtschaftlich schwächsten Provinz (Guizhou). Eine Verringerung der Disparitäten zwischen den Provinzen ist bisher nicht erkennbar. Etwas anders ist die Situation auf der Ebene ...

2010| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Eric Girardin
DIW Economic Bulletin 4 / 2011

Speculative Bubble on Housing Markets: Elements of an Early Warning System

Excessive speculation on asset markets can cause significant macroeconomic losses in terms of production and employment. Such developments should be detected as early and as reliably as possible in order to enable corrective action through adequate economic policy measures. This is the goal of the early warning system, which was developed by DIW Berlin on behalf of the Federal Ministry of Finance for ...

2011| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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