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508 Ergebnisse, ab 311
  • Seminar

    European unemployment insurance

    The paper explores the scope for a federal unemployment insurance scheme in the euro area. It models a union of atomistic member states that have authority over a wide range of domestic labor-market policies. Member states are faced with idiosyncratic business-cycle shocks, but are prevented from international borrowing.Labor-market frictions and wage rigidities mean that business cycles are...

    22.05.2019| Marek Jarocinski, European Central Bank
  • Seminar

    International spillovers of the Fed and ECB monetary policy surprises

    This paper uses a structural vector autoregression identified with the high frequency approach to study the international spillovers of the Fed and ECB monetary policy surprises. It distinguishes between the news about monetary policy (monetary policy shocks) and news about the economy in these surprises. The paper finds that the Fed monetary policy shocks have a very strong effect on the euro...

    05.06.2019| Marek Jarocinski, European Central Bank
  • Seminar

    Fiscal Policy under Constraints: Fiscal Capacity and Austerity during the Great Depression

    12.06.2019| Andrea Papadia
  • Seminar

    Microforecasting with Individual Forecast Selection

    19.06.2019| Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
  • Seminar

    Growing Like Germany: Local Public Debt, Local Banks, Low Private Investment

    Germany’s persistent current account surplus reflects to a large extent low domestic private investment. We argue that two factors—the local fragmentation of Germany’s banking system and the role of local banks in local public finance—can help explain why investment is so low. Local public banks dominate lending to small and medium firms in many regions of Germany. At the...

    26.06.2019| Mathias Hoffmann, University of Zurich
  • Seminar

    TBA

    03.07.2019| Cédric Tille
  • Seminar

    Distance(s) and the volatility of international trade(s)

    Abstract: Does distance matter for the volatility of international real and financial transactions? We show that it does, in addition to its well-established relevance for the level of trade. A simple model of trade with endogenous markups shows that demand shocks have a larger impact on trade between more distant countries. We test this implication in two steps, relying on a broad range of real...

    03.07.2019| Cedric Tille, Graduate Institute Geneva
  • Seminar

    TBA

    10.07.2019| Dirk Baur, The University of Western Australia
  • Seminar

    A Storm but no Damage - Global Equity Market Overreaction and Distorting Arbitrage around Brexit

    10.07.2019| Dirk Baur
  • Diskussionspapiere 1755 / 2018

    Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies

    This paper investigates the evolution of inflation dynamics in the five largest ASEAN countries between 1997 and 2017. To account for changes in the monetary policy frameworks since the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC), the analysis is based on country-specific Phillips Curves allowing for time-varying parameters. The paper finds evidence of a higher degree of forward-looking dynamics and a better anchoring ...

    2018| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Juan Angel Garcia
508 Ergebnisse, ab 311
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