Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely floating currencies, that FX intervention shocks significantly affect exchange rates and that this
We characterize the joint dynamics of a large number of macroeconomic variables and Treasury yields in a dynamic factor model. We use this framework to identify a yield curve news shock as an innovation that does not move yields contemporaneously but explains a maximum share of the forecast error variance of yields over the next two years. This shock explains more than half, and along with a
Die heutige Sitzung des Rates der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB) und die getroffenen geldpolitischen Beschlüsse kommentiert DIW-Präsident Marcel Fratzscher wie folgt:
Stablecoins issued by large tech companies pose a significant challenge for traditional fiat money. In this study, we highlight the importance of a public-private-cooperation in dealing with this topic, where central banks closely work with stablecoin issuers in issuing synthetic central bank digital currency (sCBDC). This framework minimizes the risks of private money and utilises the
DIW-Präsident Marcel Fratzscher kommentiert die heutigen Beschlüsse des EZB-Rats:
DIW president Marcel Fratzscher comments today's announcements by the ECB as follows:
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