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Weekly Report

Policy Responses to Turkey’s Crisis: Independent Central Bank and International Credit

The presently tenuous situation in Turkey will worsen if the government does not take appropriate policy action. In view of foreign investors’ loss of confidence, the cost of external financing is likely to rise while consumption and investment

19.09.2018| Alexander Kriwoluzky, Malte Rieth
Forschungsprojekt

Bank lending under BASEL III: The contribution of unconventional monetary policy

Aktuelles Projekt| Makroökonomie
Monographien

Floating with a Load of FX Debt?

Countries with de jure floating exchange rate regimes are often reluctant to allow their currencies to float freely in practice. One reason why countries may wish to limit exchange rate volatility is potential negative balance sheet effects due to ..

Washington D.C.: IMF, 2015, 35 S.
(IMF Working Paper ; 15/284)
| Tatsiana Kliatskova, Uffe Mikkelsen
Diskussionspapiere 1792 / 2019

Exchange Rates, Foreign Currency Exposure and Sovereign Risk

We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) using data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data ...

2019| Kerstin Bernoth, Helmut Herwartz
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Monetary Policy and Defaults in the United States

This paper uses a structural VAR model to study the effect of monetary policy on the delinquency rate of business loans and consumer credit. The VAR is identified using, jointly, several external instruments that reflect different approaches from the

In: International Journal of Central Banking 14 82018), 4, S. 327-358 | Michele Piffer
DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets

The Re-Emerging Privilege of Euro Area Membership

09.03.2018| Johannes Wiegand, IMF
Bericht

Berücksichtigung des Teufelskreises zwischen Banken und Staaten verbessert Prognose von Kreditrisiken

Bestehende Frühwarnsysteme für wirtschaftliche Krisen haben die Auswirkungen des Teufelskreises zwischen Banken und Staaten auf die Finanzstabilität nicht erkannt. Der vorliegende Beitrag stellt ein neues Prognosemodell für ...Bes

21.03.2018| Martin Johannes Bruns, Malte Rieth
DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets

When and Why Can Forward Guidance De-anchor Expectations? (with Gaetano Gaballo, Peter Hoffmann and Georg Strasser)

The form of forward guidance matters for its effectiveness in anchoring expectations about the future path of policy rates. We report cross-country evidence about the impact of different types of forward guidance on the reactiveness of markets to ...

24.10.2018| Michael Ehrmann, European Central Bank
DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets

"News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities"

We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a novel news-topic-based approach we show that the news types the media choose to report on are good predictors of households' stated ination ...

16.01.2019| Leif Anders Thorsrud, Norges Bank
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